Development of Farm Management Method and Decision Making Support System

农场管理方法及决策支持系统的开发

基本信息

批准号：
08556035
负责人：
YAGI Hironori
金额：
$ 3.9万
依托单位：
The University of Tokyo
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)
财政年份：
1996
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
1996 至 1998
项目状态：
已结题

项目摘要

During the final year of our research project, we tried to put our research results in order and to develop the logic of the system of our study, titled on The Development of Farm Management Method and Decision Making Support System. In addition to this, we arranged many farm data had got from our field surveys for three years, classified them and summarized our final report.In general, manager needs many informations internal and external of the farm to make decisions in farm management Decision-maker has to sort out those informations to make up some alternative plans, and to implement the selected best one after the evaluation of those plans. Most important points, which were found in our research project, in decision making process in farm management are summarized as follows.The first, decision making in farm management starts from making up the program of practical farm operation needed in the proper farm. Especially in the farm such as producing grain or feed crops, manager has to make decision at first in the area of timing and scale of operation, number of machineries and laborers in the farm.The second information from the cash flow statements is the most important one in addition to other financial informations. Manager has to refer to this information before anything else when lie evaluate his alternative plans in order to check if it is safety for investment for purpose of making use of his operational found profitably in fanning.The third, some indicators outside of farm has to he kept in mind when manager decision in farm management Those indicators, for example, location of plots of land, competitional situation of land market and other institutional factors for grain or feed crops farm, are the external and environmental indicators of farm that influence the decision makers. Those indicators usually bias the formula of calculating interest rate of investment in decision making process of farm manager.

在我们研究项目的最后一年，我们试图将我们的研究成果整理出来，并开发我们研究系统的逻辑，题为“农场管理方法和决策支持系统的发展”。除此之外，我们还整理了三年来实地调查得到的许多农场数据，进行分类并总结出我们的最终报告。一般来说，管理者需要农场内部和外部的大量信息来做出农场管理决策。必须对这些信息进行整理，制定一些替代计划，并在评估这些计划后选择最佳的实施方案。我们的研究项目中发现的农场管理决策过程中最重要的几点总结如下：第一，农场管理决策从制定适当农场所需的实际农场经营方案开始。特别是在生产粮食或饲料作物的农场中，管理者首先必须在经营时间和规模、农场中的机械和劳动力数量等方面做出决定。现金流量表中的第二个信息是最重要的除其他财务信息外的一项。经理在评估他的替代计划时必须首先参考这些信息，以检查投资是否安全，以便利用他在扇动中发现的业务获利。第三，农场外的一些指标必须要考虑。农场管理决策时要考虑的因素粮食或饲料作物农场的地块位置、土地市场竞争状况以及其他制度因素等指标是影响决策者的农场外部和环境指标。这些指标在农场管理者的决策过程中通常会偏离投资利率的计算公式。