Impacts of Free Trade Agreement on Japanese Eoonomy in East Asia

自由贸易协定对日本东亚经济的影响

基本信息

批准号：
15530149
负责人：
TOKUNAGA Suminori
金额：
$ 1.66万
依托单位：
University of Tsukuba
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
财政年份：
2003
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
2003 至 2004
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/en/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-15530149/
关键词：
trade liberalization CGE model tariff reduction industrial agglomeration GTAP East Asia FTA import tax 東ALLOCATE自由貿易協定海外立地選択地域SAM

项目摘要

With the persistent frictions in the WTO's multilateral trade regime, the world's major trading nations have resorted to regional and bilateral trading arrangements. In the recent past, Japan initiated trade talks with a number of countries in the Asia Pacific region including, Singapore, Mexico, Korea, Thailand, Philippines, Malaysia, China, and Indonesia. Two of these have already been concluded giving rise to the Japan-Singapore FTA which was concluded in 2002, and the recently concluded Japan-Mexico FTA. Negotiations are still advancing with other countries. At the same time, negotiations are ongoing with ASEAN bloc of countries towards a regional trade agreement. This suggests that Japan's current trade strategy is double-pronged : the bilateral and the regional. This promises to create a new "Japan FTA Network" that will cumulatively have ramifications for the Japanese economy which constitutes the hub of the trade network. Various studies have been carried out under general equilibrium framework to assess the impact of individual bilateral free trade agreements on the economies of the partner countries, as well as on the impact of the proposed regional trade regime. The present paper has twofold objectives : First, to compare the individual results of the elimination of tariffs in each of the above bilateral trade agreements on Japan's economy using the GTAP model ; and secondly, to consider the difference between a bilateral trade scenario and a regional-multilateral trade scenario involving Japan and the countries involved in the new EPA.

随着世贸组织多边贸易体制中的持续摩擦，全球主要的贸易国家已诉诸于区域和双边贸易安排。最近，日本与亚太地区的许多国家进行了贸易会谈，包括新加坡，墨西哥，韩国，泰国，泰国，菲律宾，马来西亚，中国和印度尼西亚。其中有两个已经得出结论，这给了2002年的日本森林加斯FTA，最近结束了日本 - 墨西哥FTA。谈判仍在与其他国家 /地区前进。同时，与国家集团的谈判正在与国家贸易协定达成协议。这表明日本目前的贸易策略是双管的：双边和区域。这有望建立一个新的“日本FTA网络”，该网络将累计对构成贸易网络中心的日本经济产生影响。在一般平衡框架下进行了各种研究，以评估单个双边自由贸易协定对合作伙伴国家经济的影响以及拟议的地区贸易制度的影响。本文具有双重目标：首先，比较了使用GTAP模型在上述双边贸易协定中取消关税的个体结果；其次，考虑双边贸易情景与涉及日本和新EPA的国家的区域内侧贸易方案之间的差异。