Belmont Forum Collaborative Research: Climate-Induced Migration in Africa and Beyond: Big Data and Predictive Analytics

贝尔蒙特论坛合作研究：非洲及其他地区气候引起的移民：大数据和预测分析

• 批准号: 2310908
• 负责人: STEFANO MARIA IACUS
• 金额: $ 45万
• 依托单位: Harvard University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2023-05-15 至 2026-04-30
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2310908&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Belmont; Forum; Collaborative; Research; Climate

This award provides support to U.S. researchers participating in a project competitively selected by a 55-country initiative on global change research through the Belmont Forum. The Belmont Forum is a consortium of research funding organizations focused on support for transdisciplinary approaches to global environmental change challenges and opportunities. It aims to accelerate delivery of the international research most urgently needed to remove critical barriers to sustainability by aligning and mobilizing international resources. Each partner country provides funding for their researchers within a consortium to alleviate the need for funds to cross international borders. This approach facilitates effective leveraging of national resources to support excellent research on topics of global relevance best tackled through a multinational approach, recognizing that global challenges need global solutions. This award provides support for the U.S. researchers to cooperate in consortia that consist of partners from at least three of the participating countries. The teams will establish transdisciplinary projects to identify and understand how climate-related events, both slow and rapid onset, are linked to human migration and mobility.The project aims to develop a predictive model of climate-induced migration based in theory and informed by spatially explicit data to better understand the climate-migration nexus. Importantly, the project examines how climate migration intersects with other hardships from conflicts to poverty and epidemics. The project will use cell phone data to provide real-time data on migration within a given country, something that is often not captured by global datasets. High resolution mobility patterns will be examined by leveraging satellite, social media, survey, and statistical data. These analyses will inform a framework to estimate the likelihood of displacement within country (using Senegal as a case study) and map locations of “climate shocks.” These mapping exercises will be complemented by social media data and on-the-ground surveys, to understand the public opinion and discourse around climate migration. Building off the case study, the research team plans to build a predictive model using Big Data sources in concert with simulated future scenarios, to help inform public policy. The CLIMB project team is multinational and multi-institutional and includes members who bring expertise from ecology, earth sciences, data sciences, sociology, and economics, representing five countries (Sweden, Turkey, Senegal, Austria, and USA).This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

该奖项为参与由 55 个国家的全球变化研究倡议通过贝尔蒙特论坛竞争性选出的项目的美国研究人员提供支持。贝尔蒙特论坛是一个由研究资助组织组成的联盟，致力于支持跨学科方法应对全球环境变化挑战和研究。它旨在通过协调和调动国际资源，加速提供最迫切需要的国际研究，以消除可持续发展的关键障碍。该方法有助于有效利用国家资源，支持最好通过跨国方法解决的全球相关主题的优秀研究，认识到全球挑战需要全球解决方案，该奖项为美国研究人员在至少由来自至少来自不同国家的合作伙伴组成的联盟中进行合作提供支持。三个参与国家将建立跨学科项目，以识别和了解缓慢和快速发生的气候相关事件如何与人类迁徙和流动联系起来。该项目旨在开发基于气候引起的迁徙的预测模型。理论上并通过空间明确的信息重要的是，该项目研究了气候移民与冲突、贫困和流行病等其他困难的相互关系。该项目将使用手机数据提供特定国家内移民的实时数据。全球数据集通常无法捕捉到这一点，我们将通过利用卫星、社交媒体、调查和统计数据来检查这些分析将为估计国家内流离失所的可能性提供框架（以塞内加尔作为案例研究）。 ）和地图这些绘图工作将得到社交媒体数据和实地调查的补充，以了解有关气候移民的公众舆论和讨论，研究小组计划建立一个预测模型。 CLIMB 项目团队是跨国和多机构的，成员来自生态学、地球科学、数据科学、社会学和经济学，代表五个领域。国家（瑞典、土耳其、塞内加尔、奥地利和美国）。该奖项反映了 NSF 的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的智力价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。