Global Centers Track 2: Building the Global Center for Forecasting Freshwater Futures

全球中心轨道 2：建立全球淡水未来预测中心

• 批准号: 2330211
• 负责人: Cayelan Carey
• 金额: $ 25万
• 依托单位: Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2023-12-15 至 2025-11-30
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2330211&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Global; Centers; Track; Building; Center

Climate change is degrading water quality in lakes and reservoirs around the globe, motivating the urgent need for new approaches to predict future ecosystem and drinking water conditions for management. This Global Centers Track 2 Design project will create the groundwork for developing a global center to provide scientists, managers, and the public in the U.S. and Australia with state-of-the-art, real-time water quality forecasts and decision support tools for lakes and reservoirs. The system will be deployed and tested at four lakes facing a range of climate change threats. Daily forecasts will be generated for a suite of water quality variables and methane emissions, which can inform adaptive monitoring and preemptive management (e.g., divert water from other reservoirs, increase water flows to reduce methane production). Interactive educational materials will be developed and assessed to train managers and community members on freshwater forecasting. A broad community of American and Australian students, academic researchers, government officials, industry representatives, water managers, and the public will be engaged in all center activities, setting the stage for future global engagement via partnerships with multiple international initiatives. The project’s overarching goal is to develop the foundation for an international forecasting center that predicts lake and reservoir water quality across the U.S. and Australia to enable climate change adaptation and mitigation. Lakes in both the U.S. and Australia are experiencing severe, detrimental effects of climate change, motivating the need for a future Global Center that integrates unique water quality models, sensor networks, and research networks across the two countries. As part of the center’s design and planning activities, researchers from six U.S. and Australian organizations will work together to scale existing resources (forecasting software, lake ecosystem models, sensor networks, translational tools, and training programs) to create forecasts for four focal lakes in the U.S. and Australia that are experiencing extreme water quality changes due to altered climate. The center will advance fundamental understanding of the effects of altered climate on lake ecosystems and enable managers to increase climate change resilience. This project will result in six major advances: 1) an established American-Australian community of water researchers, managers, industry officials, and government representatives working together to mitigate the effects of climate change on lakes and reservoirs; 2) lake forecasting systems generating real-time predictions of water quality and methane emissions to inform management; 3) water quality and methane forecasting models for each lake; 4) forecast visualizations and decision support tools; 5) open-access teaching modules; and 6) critical knowledge on the responses of freshwater ecosystems to climate change. This award is funded by the Global Centers program, an innovative program that supports use-inspired research addressing global challenges related to climate change and/or clean energy. Track 2 design awards support U.S.-based researchers to bring together international teams to develop research questions and partnerships, conduct landscape analyses, synthesize data, and/or build multi-stakeholder networks to advance their use-inspired research at larger scale in the future.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

气候变化正在导致全球湖泊和水库的水质恶化，迫切需要新的方法来预测未来的生态系统和饮用水状况以进行管理。该全球中心轨道 2 设计项目将为建立一个全球中心提供基础。该系统将在面向一系列湖泊的四个湖泊中部署和测试，为美国和澳大利亚的科学家、管理人员和公众提供最先进的实时水质预测和决策支持工具。气候将对一系列水质变量和甲烷排放量进行每日预测，这可以为适应性监测和预先管理（例如，从其他水库引水、增加水流量以减少甲烷产生）提供信息。开发和评估的目的是培训管理人员和社区成员进行淡水预报。由美国和澳大利亚学生、学术研究人员、政府官员、行业代表、水管理人员和公众组成的广泛社区将参与所有中心活动，为未来奠定基础。通过与以下机构的合作伙伴关系进行全球参与该项目的总体目标是建立一个国际预报中心，预测美国和澳大利亚的湖泊和水库水质，以适应和缓解气候变化。美国和澳大利亚的湖泊正在经历严重的困境。气候变化的影响，激发了未来全球中心的需求，该中心将两国独特的水质模型、传感器网络和研究网络整合在一起，作为该中心设计和规划活动的一部分，来自美国和澳大利亚的六个研究人员。各组织将共同努力扩展现有资源（预测软件、湖泊生态系统模型、传感器网络、转化工具和培训计划），为美国和澳大利亚的四个重点湖泊进行预测，这些湖泊由于气候变化而正在经历极端的水质变化。该中心将促进对气候变化对湖泊生态系统影响的基本了解，并使管理人员能够提高气候变化的抵御能力。该项目将带来六项重大进展：1）建立一个由水研究人员、管理人员、行业官员组成的美国-澳大利亚社区。和政府代表共同努力减轻气候变化对湖泊和水库的影响；2) 湖泊预测系统生成水质和甲烷排放的实时预测，为管理提供信息；3) 每个湖泊的水质和甲烷预测模型；4) 预测可视化和决策支持；工具；5) 开放获取教学模块；以及 6) 关于淡水生态系统对气候变化的反应的关键知识 该奖项由全球中心计划资助，该计划是一项创新计划，支持解决与气候相关的全球挑战。 Track 2 设计奖支持美国研究人员聚集国际团队来开发研究问题和建立合作伙伴关系、进行景观分析、综合数据和/或建立多利益相关者网络以推进其以​​使用为灵感的研究。该奖项反映了 NSF 的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的智力价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。