Global Centers Track 2: Building the Global Center for Forecasting Freshwater Futures

全球中心轨道 2：建立全球淡水未来预测中心

• 批准号: 2330211
• 负责人: Cayelan Carey
• 金额: $ 25万
• 依托单位: Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2023-12-15 至 2025-11-30
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2330211&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Global; Centers; Track; Building; Center

Climate change is degrading water quality in lakes and reservoirs around the globe, motivating the urgent need for new approaches to predict future ecosystem and drinking water conditions for management. This Global Centers Track 2 Design project will create the groundwork for developing a global center to provide scientists, managers, and the public in the U.S. and Australia with state-of-the-art, real-time water quality forecasts and decision support tools for lakes and reservoirs. The system will be deployed and tested at four lakes facing a range of climate change threats. Daily forecasts will be generated for a suite of water quality variables and methane emissions, which can inform adaptive monitoring and preemptive management (e.g., divert water from other reservoirs, increase water flows to reduce methane production). Interactive educational materials will be developed and assessed to train managers and community members on freshwater forecasting. A broad community of American and Australian students, academic researchers, government officials, industry representatives, water managers, and the public will be engaged in all center activities, setting the stage for future global engagement via partnerships with multiple international initiatives. The project’s overarching goal is to develop the foundation for an international forecasting center that predicts lake and reservoir water quality across the U.S. and Australia to enable climate change adaptation and mitigation. Lakes in both the U.S. and Australia are experiencing severe, detrimental effects of climate change, motivating the need for a future Global Center that integrates unique water quality models, sensor networks, and research networks across the two countries. As part of the center’s design and planning activities, researchers from six U.S. and Australian organizations will work together to scale existing resources (forecasting software, lake ecosystem models, sensor networks, translational tools, and training programs) to create forecasts for four focal lakes in the U.S. and Australia that are experiencing extreme water quality changes due to altered climate. The center will advance fundamental understanding of the effects of altered climate on lake ecosystems and enable managers to increase climate change resilience. This project will result in six major advances: 1) an established American-Australian community of water researchers, managers, industry officials, and government representatives working together to mitigate the effects of climate change on lakes and reservoirs; 2) lake forecasting systems generating real-time predictions of water quality and methane emissions to inform management; 3) water quality and methane forecasting models for each lake; 4) forecast visualizations and decision support tools; 5) open-access teaching modules; and 6) critical knowledge on the responses of freshwater ecosystems to climate change. This award is funded by the Global Centers program, an innovative program that supports use-inspired research addressing global challenges related to climate change and/or clean energy. Track 2 design awards support U.S.-based researchers to bring together international teams to develop research questions and partnerships, conduct landscape analyses, synthesize data, and/or build multi-stakeholder networks to advance their use-inspired research at larger scale in the future.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

气候变化正在降低全球湖泊和水库的水质，激发了对预测未来生态系统和饮用水条件的新方法的迫切需求。这个全球轨道2设计项目将为开发全球中心提供基础，以向美国和澳大利亚的科学家，经理和公众提供最先进的实时水质森林和湖泊和水库的决策工具。该系统将在面临一系列气候变化威胁的四个湖泊中进行部署和测试。每天的外国人将用于一套水质变量和甲烷排放套件，这些变量和甲烷排放量可以为自适应监测和先发制管理提供信息（例如，从其他储层中转移水，增加水流以减少甲烷的产量）。将开发和评估交互式教育材料，以培训淡水预测的经理和社区成员。一个广泛的美国和澳大利亚学生，学术研究人员，政府官员，行业代表，水管理人员和公众将参与所有中心活动，通过与多个国际倡议的伙伴关系为未来的全球参与奠定了基础。该项目的总体目标是为一个国际预测中心奠定基础，该中心预测美国和澳大利亚的湖泊和水库水质，以使气候变化适应和缓解。美国和澳大利亚的湖泊都在遭受气候变化的严重，有害影响，激发了对未来全球中心的需求，该中心将两国的独特水质模型，传感器网络和研究网络整合在一起。作为该中心设计和规划活动的一部分，来自六个美​​国和澳大利亚组织的研究人员将共同努力扩展现有资源（预测软件，湖泊生态系统模型，传感器网络，转化工具和培训计划），为美国和澳大利亚的四个焦点湖泊创造外国人，这些局部湖泊正在经历由于气候变化而经历的极端水质变化。该中心将进一步了解气候改变对湖泊生态系统的影响，并使管理人员能够提高气候变化的弹性。该项目将带来六个主要进步：1）代表工作的既定的美国澳大利亚水研究人员，经理，行业官员和政府社区2）对水质和甲烷排放的实时预测，以告知管理层； 3）每个湖泊的水质和甲烷预测模型； 4）预测可视化和决策支持工具； 5）开放访问教学模块； 6）关于淡水生态系统对气候变化的反应的批判性知识。该奖项由Global Centers计划提供资金，该计划是一项创新计划，该计划支持以使用与气候变化和/或清洁能源相关的全球挑战的使用启发的研究。 Track 2设计奖支持美国的研究人员将国际团队汇集在一起​​，以开发研究问题和伙伴关系，进行景观分析，合成数据和/或建立多利益相关者网络，以在未来的更大规模上推进其使用启发的研究。该奖项反映了NSF的法定任务，并通过评估范围来诚实地对其进行了评估，并通过评估了CR CRIFIAIA MER INTERCTIAR INTERCTIAR INTERCTIAR INTERCTIARIAL和FLOCKIAN FIRNCTIAL和FLOCKIAN INTERCTIAL。