Collaborative Research: Constraining next generation Cascadia earthquake and tsunami hazard scenarios through integration of high-resolution field data and geophysical models

合作研究：通过集成高分辨率现场数据和地球物理模型来限制下一代卡斯卡迪亚地震和海啸灾害情景

• 批准号: 2325312
• 负责人: Tina Dura
• 金额: $ 22.72万
• 依托单位: Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2024
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2024-05-01 至 2027-04-30
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2325312&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Collaborative; Research; Constraining; next; generation

This project aims to advance knowledge of tsunami hazards along the Cascadia subduction zone. The Cascadia subduction zone is the main source for earthquakes and tsunamis in the US Pacific Northwest. This work will map ancient tsunami deposits preserved in the geologic record and combine this data with advanced models to simulate tsunami impacts along the coast. These results will deepen understanding of how past earthquakes have behaved in this region. The specific focus will be on the last major earthquake in the region that occurred in the year 1700. This research will directly impact public safety and preparedness in the region. The insights gained will help to improve hazard maps, emergency and evacuation plans, building codes, and the design of tsunami evacuation structures. Furthermore, the project will support a collaboration with the Shoalwater Bay Tribe. This tribe has built North America's first free-standing tsunami evacuation tower, and the collaboration will help to advance community engagement and education regarding seismic risks. Through ths work, this project will serve as a vital investment in public safety and knowledge dissemination. The objective of this project is to conduct a comprehensive study of the Cascadia subduction zone (CSZ), focusing on the seismic and tsunami activity around the year 1700 CE. To accomplish this, the team will carry out high-resolution mapping of paleotsunami deposits at two key locations along the CSZ and execute thousands of advanced tsunami inundation models. These efforts aim to test various hypotheses of what kinds of earthquake slip distributions can explain actual field observations, addressing gaps in the current understanding of tsunami deposit distribution. By employing innovative techniques such as analyzing sediment cores, microfossils, and sediment geochemistry, the results will delineate the full extent of tsunami inundation with high resolution at these new sites. This approach will help in validating or excluding different earthquake scenarios and contribute to a more precise understanding of the CSZ's seismic behavior. This research is fundamental for accurate seismic and tsunami mapping and has wide-ranging implications for practical hazard applications.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

该项目旨在促进卡斯卡迪亚俯冲带沿线海啸危害的了解。卡斯卡迪亚俯冲带是美国太平洋西北地区地震和海啸的主要来源。这项工作将绘制在地质记录中保存的古老海啸沉积物，并将这些数据与先进模型相结合，以模拟沿海地区的海啸影响。这些结果将加深对过去地震在该地区的表现。具体的重点将放在1700年发生的最后一次大地震上。这项研究将直接影响该地区的公共安全和准备。获得的见解将有助于改善危险图，紧急和疏散计划，建筑法规以及海啸撤离结构的设计。此外，该项目将支持与浅滩湾部落的合作。该部落建立了北美首个独立的海啸撤离塔，该合作将有助于促进有关地震风险的社区参与和教育。通过这项工作，该项目将成为公共安全和知识传播的重要投资。 该项目的目的是对卡斯卡迪亚俯冲带（CSZ）进行全面研究，重点是公元1700年左右的地震和海啸活动。为此，团队将在CSZ沿两个关键位置进行古植物矿床的高分辨率映射，并执行数千个高级海啸淹没模型。这些努力旨在检验各种地震滑动分布的各种假设可以解释实际的现场观察结果，从而解决了当前对海啸沉积物分布的理解中的差距。通过采用创新技术，例如分析沉积物核心，微化石和沉积物地球化学，结果将在这些新地点的高分辨率上划定海啸淹没的全部范围。这种方法将有助于验证或排除不同的地震场景，并有助于对CSZ的地震行为有更精确的理解。这项研究对于准确的地震和海啸映射至关重要，对实践危害应用具有广泛的影响。该奖项反映了NSF的法定任务，并被认为是值得通过基金会的智力优点和更广泛影响的评估来评估值得支持的。