Doctoral Dissertation Research in DRMS: Resilience for Whom: A Climate Mobility Framework for Evaluating Equity Outcomes in Climate Resilience Decision Making

DRMS 博士论文研究：为谁而生的复原力：评估气候复原力决策中公平结果的气候流动性框架

• 批准号: 2049887
• 负责人: Elizabeth Anderson
• 金额: $ 2.27万
• 依托单位: Florida International University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2021
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2021-02-15 至 2023-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2049887&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Doctoral; Dissertation; Research; DRMS; Resilience

Sea level rise is increasing extreme sea level events, including high-tide and storm-associated floods, which will drive migration and displacement of residents within coastal communities. Recent studies have focused on the macro-economic implications of climate-driven migration and displacement, but there remains a large research gap in our understanding of the multiplicities of climate related movement, or climate mobilities within a given locality. Mobility considerations encompass the social and economic disparities within coastal communities that may impede the ability of residents to cope with climate migration outcomes. There is a pressing need to understand local dynamics of climate migration as experienced across the spectrum of vulnerability to highlight equity considerations in sea level rise adaptation planning. The purpose of this research is to examine the intersection of sea level rise related exposure risk and socio-economic vulnerability and their combined impact on potential future climate migration outcomes through the creation of a novel climate mobility framework. The climate mobility framework distinguishes between four sets of communities - stable, migrating, displaced, and trapped- to assess potential inequities within sea level rise adaptation planning given deep uncertainty and competing societal demands for funding. This research has three primary objectives: (1) develop a conceptual framework that considers the multiplicities of sea level rise related movement, (2) test this framework among current residents of Miami-Dade County, FL though a mixed methods approach that includes spatial analysis and primary data collection through interviews and surveys, and (3) facilitate a process of co-production with government officials and community leaders to understand how the framework can advance equitable decision making for future climate resilience policy. This research employs publicly accessible datasets such as the U.S Census American Community Survey to develop socio-economic indicators of vulnerability, and integrates novel measures of exposure risk such as the Parallel Raster Inundation Model, or PRIMo, which provides high resolution regional compound flooding assessments for robust decision making. The climate mobility framework should be transferable to coastal communities in the United States and other societies where property rights and land-use tenure exist. The conclusions and proposed solutions that emerge from all phases of this research are likely to be relevant for coastal communities globally.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

海平面上升正在增加极端的海平面事件，包括高潮和与风暴相关的洪水，这将推动沿海社区内居民的迁移和流离失所。最近的研究集中在气候驱动的迁移和流离失所的宏观经济含义上，但在我们对与气候相关运动的多元化或在给定地方内的气候流动性的理解中仍然存在很大的研究差距。流动性考虑因素涵盖了沿海社区内的社会和经济差异，这可能会阻碍居民应对气候移民结果的能力。迫切需要了解气候迁移的局部动态，因为在脆弱性的范围内经历了突出海平面上升适应计划中的公平考虑因素。这项研究的目的是检查海平面上升相关的暴露风险和社会经济脆弱性及其对潜在的未来气候迁移结果的综合影响，通过创建新型的气候流动框架。气候流动性框架区分了四个社区（稳定，迁移，流离失所和被困），以评估海平面内的潜在不平等，鉴于深度不确定性和竞争性社会资金需求。这项研究具有三个主要目标：（1）建立一个概念框架，该概念框架考虑了海平面上升相关运动的倍数，（2）在迈阿密 - 戴德县现有居民中测试这一框架，尽管佛罗里达州的当前居民，通过一种混合的方法，该方法包括空间分析和主要数据收集，包括通过访谈和调查来收集主要的数据，以及与政府官员的共同生产的过程，使得与社区官员的共同生产能力促进了现象，该框架的策略是如何实现的，该框架是在官方官员中的共同生产过程，该框架的范围是促进的，该框架的范围是促进了一个框架，使得与社区官员的共同生产过程，该过程是促进了一个范围的范围。 政策。本研究采用公共可访问的数据集，例如美国人口普查社区调查来开发脆弱性的社会经济指标，并整合了诸如平行栅格淹没模型或PRIMO等新型暴露风险衡量标准，该模型提供了高分辨率的区域复合洪水泛滥评估，以实现强大的决策。气候流动框架应可以转移到美国和其他财产权和土地利用权限的其他社会的沿海社区。从本研究的所有阶段中出现的结论和提议解决方案可能与全球沿海社区有关。该奖项反映了NSF的法定任务，并被认为是值得通过基金会的智力优点和更广泛影响的评估审查标准来通过评估来支持的。

项目成果

Modes of climate mobility under sea-level rise

海平面上升下的气候流动模式

• DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acfe22
• 发表时间: 2023
• 期刊: Environmental Research Letters
• 影响因子: 6.7
• 作者: Seeteram, Nadia A.;Ash, Kevin;Sanders, Brett F.;Schubert, Jochen E.;Mach, Katharine J.
• 通讯作者: Mach, Katharine J.

Living with water: Evolving adaptation preferences under increasing sea-level rise in Miami-Dade County, FL, USA

与水共存：美国佛罗里达州迈阿密戴德县在海平面上升的情况下不断变化的适应偏好

• DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100574
• 发表时间: 2023
• 期刊: Climate Risk Management
• 影响因子: 4.4
• 作者: Seeteram, Nadia A.;Anderson, Elizabeth P.;Bhat, Mahadev;Grove, Kevin;Sanders, Brett F.;Schubert, Jochen E.;Hasan, Farrah;Mach, Katharine J.
• 通讯作者: Mach, Katharine J.