RIPS Type 2 Collaborative Research: Water and Electricity Infrastructure in the Southeast (WEIS) - Approaches to Resilient Interdependent Systems under Climate Change

RIPS 2 类合作研究：东南部水电基础设施 (WEIS) - 气候变化下具有弹性的相互依存系统的方法

基本信息

批准号：
1441226
负责人：
Royce Francis
金额：
$ 30.26万
依托单位：
George Washington University
依托单位国家：
美国
项目类别：
Standard Grant
财政年份：
2015
资助国家：
美国
起止时间：
2015-01-01 至 2019-12-31
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1441226&HistoricalAwards=false
关键词：
RIPS Type Collaborative Research Water

项目摘要

This research will develop a general methodology to study climate change implications for the interdependent critical infrastructures (ICI) systems of water supply and electric power generation. Competing demands for water services affect the availability of water for the power sector (and hence its reliability), while reliable power supply is needed to operate the water supply system. This project will demonstrate a method for evaluating the interdependence and resiliency of ICI systems on the Southeast U.S. through 2050. In order to evaluate the risks and improve the resilience of the ICI systems, the project will include five interconnected research thrusts, each developed in general terms, then applied in the target area: 1. Social Context: What are the organizational, social, psychological, legal, political, and economic needs, wants, resources, and obstacles relevant to creating resilient, socially acceptable improvements in the electric power and water supply ICI systems? 2. Hazards: How will climate change and related extreme weather events affect local hydrology and thus water-induced risks in the southeastern U.S.? 3. Vulnerability: How will these changes affect short-term operations and long-term planning for existing and future electric power and water supply ICI systems in the Southeast between 2010 and 2050? 4. Adaptation: What are technically and economically feasible climate adaptation investments in the electric power and water supply ICI systems between 2010 and 2050? 5. Communication and acceptability: How can these analytical results be communicated to the stakeholders who will need to evaluate and act on them? This research will advance both the individual sciences (e.g., numerical modeling, natural hazards research, impact assessment, energy and water management, decision science) and their integration. This project will stimulate interactions between disciplines that infrequently have the sustained opportunities for the collaboration needed to understand the mutual implications of their research and to develop methods that address those interfaces. The shared focus on ICIs will allow these communities to develop the common language needed to develop the integrative methods that enrich the respective fields while creating unique joint products. For example, improved understanding of the hydrological impacts of climate change and extreme weather events will inform scientists working on climate assessment, while stimulating the behavioral science research needed to engage stakeholders responsible for using that information in electric power and water supply ICIs. Similarly, this project will prompt research integrating control and engineering science as they apply to these problems. It will also extend science communication research to grappling with the unique issues raised by ICIs (e.g., long-time horizons, complex interactions), informed by the expertise of the other scientists on the project. The project will support interdisciplinary collaboration among engineers, earth scientists, and social scientists at three different institutions. A primary goal of this project is to communicate with stakeholders so as to make its work as relevant as possible and to engage them throughout the process so that they are ready to see the implications of its questions and results for policy making. To that end, the project will include outreach activities targeting climate/environmental entities, utility companies, policy makers and community leaders, the academic community, and the general public.

这项研究将开发一种通用方法来研究气候变化对供水和发电等相互依存的关键基础设施（ICI）系统的影响。对供水服务的竞争性需求会影响电力部门的供水（进而影响其可靠性），而供水系统的运行则需要可靠的电力供应。该项目将展示一种评估到 2050 年美国东南部 ICI 系统的相互依赖性和弹性的方法。为了评估风险并提高 ICI 系统的弹性，该项目将包括五个相互关联的研究重点，每个研究重点都在一般情况下开发术语，然后应用于目标领域： 1. 社会背景：与创造有弹性的、社会可接受的电力改进相关的组织、社会、心理、法律、政治和经济需求、需求、资源和障碍是什么和供水 ICI 系统？ 2. 危害：气候变化和相关极端天气事件将如何影响美国东南部当地的水文以及水引发的风险？ 3. 脆弱性：这些变化将如何影响 2010 年至 2050 年间东南部现有和未来电力和供水 ICI 系统的短期运营和长期规划？ 4. 适应：2010年至2050年间，电力和供水ICI系统中技术和经济上可行的气候适应投资有哪些？ 5. 沟通和可接受性：如何将这些分析结果传达给需要对其进行评估并采取行动的利益相关者？这项研究将推动个别科学（例如数值建模、自然灾害研究、影响评估、能源和水管理、决策科学）及其整合。该项目将刺激学科之间的互动，这些学科很少有持续的合作机会，以了解其研究的相互影响并开发解决这些接口的方法。对 ICI 的共同关注将使这些社区能够开发开发综合方法所需的共同语言，从而丰富各自领域，同时创造独特的联合产品。例如，更好地了解气候变化和极端天气事件的水文影响将为从事气候评估的科学家提供信息，同时刺激行为科学研究，让负责在电力和供水ICI中使用这些信息的利益相关者参与进来。同样，该项目将促进控制和工程科学在解决这些问题时的整合研究。它还将利用该项目其他科学家的专业知识，将科学传播研究扩展到解决 ICI 提出的独特问题（例如，长期视野、复杂的相互作用）。该项目将支持三个不同机构的工程师、地球科学家和社会科学家之间的跨学科合作。该项目的主要目标是与利益相关者进行沟通，使其工作尽可能具有相关性，并让他们参与整个过程，以便他们准备好了解其问题和结果对政策制定的影响。为此，该项目将包括针对气候/环境实体、公用事业公司、政策制定者和社区领袖、学术界和公众的外展活动。