A Workshop to Develop a Conceptual Model of the Future High Arcitc Marine Ecosystem

开发未来高北极海洋生态系统概念模型的研讨会

• 批准号: 1340241
• 负责人: Karyn Sawyer
• 金额: $ 5.6万
• 依托单位: University Corporation For Atmospheric Res
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2013
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2013-05-01 至 2014-01-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1340241&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Workshop; Develop; Conceptual; Model; Future

Diminishing sea ice cover and ocean acidification are altering the Arctic Ocean ecosystem and contributing to substantial economic and cultural changes in the region. The significance of those changes has been highlighted in the United States where the Arctic Ocean was identified as one of the nine priority objectives in the National Ocean Policy and internationally by the Arctic Council which is working cooperatively in the Arctic on ecosystem based management, oil spill prevention and response, and search and rescue. From those fora interest had grown for coordinating studies of the arctic marine ecosystem and how it is likely to change in the face of global climate change, offshore energy exploration and development, and increasing acidification. This workshop will facilitate discussion among approximately 20 synthetic thinkers to develop a conceptual model of the arctic marine ecosystem, and to develop hypotheses about how that system is likely to change in the coming decades. This workshop will begin to assemble an overview of the system such that individual efforts of several Federal agencies can be more efficiently planned and complement one another to further our understanding of the overall system and its likely responses to changing conditions.An important step in the design of a research program in arctic marine ecosystems is the development of a common conceptual model of what the Arctic may look like in the future, what the main information needs will be, and how a coordinated research program aimed at addressing these needs could be implemented.The broader impacts expected from this workshop include an opportunity for the research community to discuss ideas that contribute to a better understanding of how contemporary arctic physical, biological, and human ecosystems may change over the next few decades, and of how anthropogenic activities can be directed to mitigate human and natural impacts on the ecosystem and facilitate human adaptations.

海冰覆盖和海洋酸化减少正在改变北极海洋生态系统，并促进该地区的实质性经济和文化变化。这些变化的重要性在美国得到了强调，在美国，北极海被确定为国家海洋政策中的九个优先目标之一，而北极理事会则在国际上被确定为在北极在生态系统的基于生态系统的管理，溢油预防和响应以及搜索和救援方面合作。从那些兴趣中，人们开始对北极海洋生态系统进行协调研究，以及面对全球气候变化，近海能源探索和发展以及酸化的可能性如何变化。该研讨会将促进大约20个合成思想家之间的讨论，以开发北极海洋生态系统的概念模型，并开发有关该系统在未来几十年可能如何改变的假设。该研讨会将开始概述该系统的概述，以使几个联邦机构的个人努力可以更有效地计划，并彼此补充，以进一步了解我们对整体系统及其对改变条件的反应。在北极海洋生态系统中设计计划的重要一步是建立在北极地区的共同概念模型的开发，这些概念是建立在北极地区的概念的发展，即未来的信息，未来的目标是什么，未来的目标是什么，未来的目标是什么，并且是未来的。可以实现解决这些需求。该研讨会的更广泛的影响包括研究社区讨论有助于更好地理解当代北极物理，生物学和人类生态系统如何在未来几十年中发生变化的想法，以及如何将人为活动引起人类活动，以减轻人类和自然对人类的影响和自然对人类的影响。