Collaborative research: Understanding the role of environmental change on the long-term population dynamics of one surviving and two extinct arctic mammals

合作研究：了解环境变化对一种幸存的和两种灭绝的北极哺乳动物的长期种群动态的作用

• 批准号: 0909456
• 负责人: Beth Shapiro
• 金额: $ 26.78万
• 依托单位: Pennsylvania State Univ University Park
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2009
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2009-08-01 至 2012-07-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0909456&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Collaborative; research; Understanding; role; environmental

This award is funded under the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (Public Law 111-5).Of the planet?s ecosystems the Arctic is the most sensitive to climate change. Recent increases in the rate of environmental change in the Arctic pose considerable challenges to the survival of culturally and economically important, arctic-adapted species such as caribou. An ability to disentangle the roles of extrinsic processes, such as climatic or anthropogenic changes to the arctic habitat, and intrinsic processes, such as density-dependent resource limitation, in the dynamics of populations would provide key insights for conservation and management of the arctic biota. However, such efforts have thus far been hindered by the scarcity of long-term data for natural populations. Here, contemporary evolutionary and ecological approaches are integrated for the first time to produce long-term reconstructions of the population dynamics of one surviving and two extinct and arctic mammals: steppe bison, horses, and caribou. To achieve this, the largest, most densely sampled ancient DNA data sets to date will be produced, focusing on two environmentally distinct arctic localities with exceptional chronological control and detailed paleoenvironmental records going back at least 250,000 years. These data will provide the first opportunity to directly evaluate the role of environmental change on the long-term dynamics and extinction risk of arctic fauna.A near-continuous time series detailing changes in the size and structure of bison, horse and caribou populations will be generated, spanning one complete glacial/interglacial cycle and several periods of major environmental change. Novel analytical techniques will be developed to (a) significantly extend the temporal range of paleogenetic reconstructions; (b) incorporate geographic and ecological data explicitly into demographic analyses; and (c) detect and quantify the role of intrinsic and extrinsic processes in the fate of natural populations of large herbivores. In addition, a detailed analysis of evolutionary information in mitochondrial DNA sequences will be performed, using high-throughput sequencing technology and novel experimental methodology to develop the first comparative temporal data set of complete mitochondrial genomes for sympatric (spatially and temporally) species. In addition, understanding how species respond to previous periods of climate change may improve our ability to forecast and mitigate adverse consequences of contemporary climate change for extant arctic species.

该奖项根据《2009 年美国复苏和再投资法案》（公法 111-5）提供资金。在地球的生态系统中，北极对气候变化最为敏感。最近北极环境变化速度的加快对文化和经济上重要的、适应北极的物种（如驯鹿）的生存构成了相当大的挑战。能够理清外部过程（例如北极栖息地的气候或人为变化）和内部过程（例如依赖于密度的资源限制）在种群动态中的作用，将为北极生物群的保护和管理提供重要见解。然而，迄今为止，由于缺乏自然种群的长期数据，此类努力受到阻碍。在这里，当代进化和生态方法首次结合​​起来，对一种幸存的和两种灭绝的北极哺乳动物（草原野牛、马和驯鹿）的种群动态进行了长期重建。为了实现这一目标，将产生迄今为止最大、采样最密集的古代 DNA 数据集，重点关注两个环境独特的北极地区，这些地区具有特殊的年代控制和至少可追溯到 25 万年前的详细古环境记录。这些数据将为直接评估环境变化对北极动物群的长期动态和灭绝风险的作用提供第一个机会。详细描述野牛、马和驯鹿种群规模和结构变化的近乎连续的时间序列将被产生的，跨越一个完整的冰期/间冰期周期和几个重大环境变化时期。将开发新的分析技术以（a）显着扩展古生成重建的时间范围； (b) 将地理和生态数据明确纳入人口分析； (c) 检测并量化内部和外部过程对大型食草动物自然种群命运的作用。此外，还将利用高通量测序技术和新颖的实验方法对线粒体DNA序列的进化信息进行详细分析，以开发同域（空间和时间）物种的完整线粒体基因组的第一个比较时间数据集。此外，了解物种如何应对之前的气候变化可能会提高我们预测和减轻当代气候变化对现存北极物种不利影响的能力。