COLLABORATIVE RESEARCH: Multispecies, Multiscale Investigations of Longterm Changes in Penguin and Seabird Populations on the Antarctic Peninsula

合作研究：对南极半岛企鹅和海鸟种群长期变化的多物种、多尺度调查

• 批准号: 0739430
• 负责人: Ron Naveen
• 金额: $ 30.01万
• 依托单位: Oceanites, Inc.
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 2008
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2008-07-15 至 2013-06-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0739430&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: COLLABORATIVE; RESEARCH; Multispecies; Multiscale; Investigations

This five-year project seeks to characterize decadal scale changes in penguin and seabird populations on the Antarctic Peninsula, and to identify the factors driving these long-term changes. Two interconnected research activities are proposed: 1. Continued, long-term monitoring and censusing of penguin and seabird populations at 117 sites throughout the Antarctic Peninsula via opportunistic ship-based data collection. 2. Synthesis and quantitative analyses of datasets detailing long-term changes in five penguin and seabird species from diverse sites throughout the Antarctic Peninsula. When complete, the penguin/seabird database will incorporate data from the Antarctic Site Inventory (ASI), the CCAMLR database, the US AMLR database, the LTER database from Palmer Station, data from British and Argentine researchers, historic census data compiled by the Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research (SCAR), and, when possible, additional privately held datasets. Additional data for temperature change, sea ice coverage, the seasonal timing and intensity of human visitation, and other factors have been gathered and will be analyzed together with population trajectories within a spatially explicit framework. The research will include hierarchical statistical analyses to characterize the long-term population dynamics of several key polar species across multiple spatial scales (sites, regions, and the Peninsula). Analyses also will focus on specific subsets of the overall database to contrast visitor impacts on paired colonies, sites, and regions that share similar environmental conditions but differ in the intensity of tourism. The Broader Impacts include (1) research training and first-time Antarctic experiences for a postdoctoral researcher and several graduate students, all of whom will then be better positioned to bring their expertise in spatial and/or quantitative/theoretical ecology to bear on questions in polar research; (2) assembly and analysis of a large, multi-season database of penguin and seabird time series from the Antarctic Peninsula that will be publicly available, (3) assistance in distinguishing the impacts of tourism versus climate change on seabird populations. Under the Environmental Protocol to the Antarctic Treaty, Treaty Parties are charged with regular and effective monitoring to assess the impacts of human activities. This project will uniquely assist Parties in fulfilling this mandate.

这个为期五年的项目旨在描述南极半岛企鹅和海鸟种群的十年尺度变化，并确定驱动这些长期变化的因素。 建议开展两项相互关联的研究活动： 1. 通过机会性的船载数据收集，对整个南极半岛 117 个地点的企鹅和海鸟种群进行持续、长期的监测和普查。 2. 数据集的综合和定量分析，详细介绍了来自整个南极半岛不同地点的五种企鹅和海鸟物种的长期变化。完成后，企鹅/海鸟数据库将纳入来自南极站点清单（ASI）、CCAMLR 数据库、美国 AMLR 数据库、帕尔默站 LTER 数据库、英国和阿根廷研究人员的数据、科学中心编制的历史人口普查数据的数据。南极研究委员会 (SCAR)，并在可能的情况下提供其他私人持有的数据集。有关温度变化、海冰覆盖、人类访问的季节时间和强度以及其他因素的额外数据已经收集完毕，并将在空间明确的框架内与人口轨迹一起进行分析。该研究将包括分层统计分析，以描述多个关键极地物种在多个空间尺度（地点、区域和半岛）的长期种群动态。分析还将重点关注整个数据库的特定子集，以对比游客对环境条件相似但旅游强度不同的配对殖民地、遗址和地区的影响。更广泛的影响包括（1）为一名博士后研究员和几名研究生提供研究培训和首次南极经历，然后他们所有人都将能够更好地利用他们在空间和/或定量/理论生态学方面的专业知识来解决以下问题：极地研究； (2) 收集和分析南极半岛企鹅和海鸟时间序列的大型多季节数据库，该数据库将公开，(3) 帮助区分旅游业与气候变化对海鸟种群的影响。 根据《南极条约环境议定书》，条约缔约方有责任进行定期有效的监测，以评估人类活动的影响。该项目将独特地协助缔约方履行这一任务。