How will Pacific climate variability impact Australia in a warming world?

在气候变暖的世界中，太平洋气候变化将如何影响澳大利亚？

• 批准号: DE230100315
• 负责人: Dr Nicola Maher
• 金额: $ 31.7万
• 依托单位: The Australian National University
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Discovery Early Career Researcher Award
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2023-06-01 至 2026-05-31
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/DE230100315
• 关键词: How; will; Pacific; climate; variability

Temperature variability in the Pacific Ocean is characterised by El Niño and La Niña (year-to-year variations) and the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (decadal variations). These phenomena are primary drivers of Australian temperature and rainfall. Leveraging new tools and methods, including Single Model Initial-Condition Large Ensembles, this project will investigate drivers of these phenomena, and their impacts on Australia in a warming world. Outcomes include the quantification of how these climate phenomena modulate extreme weather events, and an understanding of how Indian and Atlantic Ocean warming affects the Pacific region. This will improve the prediction of extreme events, which is critical for preparation for their impacts.

太平洋的温度差异为特征是厄尔尼诺和拉尼娜（年度变化）和少年太平洋振荡（年代变化）。这些现象是澳大利亚温度和降雨的主要驱动因素。该项目利用新的工具和方法，包括单型初始条件大型合奏，将调查这些现象的驱动因素及其在温暖世界中对澳大利亚的影响。结果包括这些气候现象如何调节极端天气事件的数量，以及对印度和大西洋变暖如何影响太平洋地区的理解。这将改善极端事件的预测，这对于准备其影响至关重要。