Estimating Policy Preferences Using Expert Data

使用专家数据估计政策偏好

• 批准号: 8822307
• 负责人: James Alt
• 金额: $ 4.64万
• 依托单位: Harvard University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 1989
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1989-01-15 至 1990-06-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=8822307&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Estimating; Policy; Preferences; Using; Expert

This project will assemble information on a range of matters that are central to our understanding of voting and party competition in Western democracies. It is the first stage in the construction of a comprehensive database on the policy preferences of key political actors in a large number of representative democracies. This phase of the research involves a major survey of approximately 1,000 country specialists and is designed to establish the preferred positions of party elites on a range of policy dimensions. Most of these aspects of party policy have not before been the subject of comprehensive cross- national research. In addition, the study will estimate differences between the policy preferences of party leaders and those of other key sections of the parties concerned, including legislators, activists and voters. It will also estimate the importance attributed by leaders to particular policy dimensions; the number of policy dimensions that are important in each party system; the extent to which party leaders trade off the desire to get into office against the desire to affect policy outputs; and the extent to which the leaders of each party have control over party policy. The overall results will bring theoretical and empirical analyses of voting and party competition much closer together. They will also open up new approaches to the understanding of party competition that have hitherto been closed off because of even the vaguest estimates of a number of key variables.

该项目将收集一系列问题的信息，这些信息对于我们理解西方民主国家的投票和政党竞争至关重要。 这是建立一个关于大量代议制民主国家主要政治行为者政策偏好的综合数据库的第一阶段。 这一阶段的研究涉及对大约 1,000 名国家专家进行的大型调查，旨在确定政党精英在一系列政策维度上的首选立场。 政党政策的大部分方面此前并未成为全面跨国研究的主题。 此外，该研究还将估计政党领导人的政策偏好与政党其他关键阶层（包括立法者、活动人士和选民）的政策偏好之间的差异。 它还将估计领导人对特定政策维度的重视程度；每个政党体系中重要的政策维度的数量；政党领导人在多大程度上权衡了上任的愿望和影响政策产出的愿望；以及各方领导人对政党政策的控制程度。 总体结果将使投票和政党竞争的理论和实证分析更加紧密地结合在一起。 它们还将开辟理解政党竞争的新方法，而迄今为止，由于对一些关键变量的估计最模糊，这种方法一直被封闭。