Future risks associated with ocean surface warming: impacts on climate, rainfall, carbon, and circulation

与海洋表面变暖相关的未来风险：对气候、降雨、碳和环流的影响

• 批准号: FL100100214
• 负责人: Prof Matthew England
• 金额: $ 213.09万
• 依托单位: The University of New South Wales
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Australian Laureate Fellowships
• 财政年份: 2011
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2011-03-01 至 2016-02-28
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/FL100100214
• 关键词: Future; risks; associated; ocean; surface

Climate change is already affecting Australia, with harsh drought, more intense bushfire seasons, increased monsoon rains, heatwaves, and warmer temperatures all a feature of the past few decades. Climate change is expected to accelerate in the future, warming the oceans at an increased rate. This will affect ocean circulation, carbon uptake and ocean-atmosphere modes, such as El Nino, with unknown intensity. This project will improve our preparedness for climate change by better quantifying the risks that ocean warming will transform Australia's climate, rainfall, and sea level; as well as the ocean's uptake of carbon and the global ocean circulation. This will benefit sectors including agriculture, water management, fisheries, and tourism.

气候变化已经影响到了澳大利亚，严重的干旱、更严重的丛林火灾季节、季风降雨增加、热浪和气温升高都是过去几十年的特征。预计未来气候变化将加速，海洋变暖速度将加快。这将影响海洋环流、碳吸收和海洋-大气模式，例如强度未知的厄尔尼诺现象。该项目将通过更好地量化海洋变暖将改变澳大利亚气候、降雨量和海平面的风险，改善我们对气候变化的准备；以及海洋对碳的吸收和全球海洋环流。这将使农业、水管理、渔业和旅游业等部门受益。