Declining Teen Fertility and Increasing Population Heterogeneity within the Latino/Hispanic Population Supplement

拉丁裔/西班牙裔人口补充中青少年生育率下降和人口异质性增加

• 批准号: 10378373
• 负责人: REANNE FRANK
• 金额: $ 7.85万
• 依托单位: OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2020
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2020-08-10 至 2023-07-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/10378373
• 关键词: Administrative Supplement; Adolescent; Adolescent and Young Adult; Age; Age Reporting; Award; Behavioral; Birth; Birth Rate; Bypass; COVID-19; COVID-19 mortality; COVID-19 pandemic; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (U.S.); Child; County; Data; Data Reporting; Demographic Accounting; Distal; Distress; Drops; Economics; Fertility; Foundations; Geographic Locations; Geography; Heterogeneity; Hispanic Americans; Hispanics; Home; Individual; Interruption; Latina; Latino; Latinx; Link; Marital Status; Parents; Pattern; Personal Satisfaction; Play; Policies; Population; Population Heterogeneity; Pregnancy in Adolescence; Research; Risk; Schools; Sex Behavior; Social Change; Source; Specific qualifier value; Subgroup; Teenagers; Time; Time Series Analysis; Uncertainty; United Nations; Variant; Woman; adjudicate; aged; child bearing; coronavirus disease; early childbearing; economic impact; multilevel analysis; pregnancy prevention; response; teen birth; teenage fertility; trend; young adult

Project Summary The proposed study focuses on adolescent childbearing among the U.S. Hispanic/Latina (hereafter: Hispanic) population. Declines in teen fertility in the U.S have been widespread and, in recent years, have been particularly large among Hispanic/Latina adolescents. Given their disproportionate share of teen births (over one-third of all teen births in 2017 were to Hispanic teens), the drop in the Hispanic birth rate accounts for a substantial portion of the recent decline in the national teen birth rate. Beyond birth data reports, however, there has been no formal demographic accounting of these unprecedented declines that considers the vast heterogeneity and significant changes in the Hispanic population. This kind of rich description is an essential, albeit frequently bypassed, step in the broader tasks of identifying the causes (both proximate and distal) of the impressive declines in Hispanic teen fertility. We leverage nearly 30 years of Natality data (1991-2018) to first determine if declines in Hispanic teen birth rates have been widespread or exclusive to particular sub-groups (cross-classified by different combinations of region-of-origin, nativity, geographic location in the U.S., age, and marital status). Second, we employ decomposition analysis to adjudicate between different explanations (i.e. compositional shifts vs. unobserved behavioral changes) behind any documented declines. Third, via the proposed administrative supplement, we propose to extend the time frame of our analysis to cover the pre and post COVID-19 eras. The alarmingly disproportionate impact of COVID-19 on the Hispanic population motivates our focus on determining how the COVID-19 pandemic has altered adolescent and early fertility among Hispanic Americans. Together, our approach will reveal patterns that are essential to a more comprehensive understanding of Hispanic teen fertility, including how it has (or has not) changed and the reasons for any observed changes.

项目概要 拟议的研究重点是美国西班牙裔/拉丁裔青少年的生育情况 （以下简称：西班牙裔）人口。美国青少年生育率普遍下降， 近年来，这种现象在西班牙裔/拉丁裔青少年中尤为突出。鉴于他们的 青少年出生的比例过高（2017 年所有青少年出生的三分之一以上是西班牙裔 青少年），西班牙裔出生率的下降占了近期下降的很大一部分 在全国青少年出生率中。然而，除了出生数据报告外，还没有正式的报告。 对这些前所未有的下降进行人口统计，考虑到巨大的异质性 以及西班牙裔人口的重大变化。这种丰富的描述是必不可少的， 尽管经常被绕过，但还是要介入更广泛的任务，找出原因（两者都是最接近的） 和远端）西班牙裔青少年生育率显着下降。我们利用近 30 年的经验 出生率数据（1991-2018）首先确定西班牙裔青少年出生率是否下降 广泛存在或专属于特定子群体（通过不同的组合进行交叉分类） 原籍地区、出生地、在美国的地理位置、年龄和婚姻状况）。第二，我们 采用分解分析来裁决不同的解释（即成分 任何有记录的下降背后的转变与未观察到的行为变化）。第三，通过 拟议的行政补充，我们建议将我们的分析时间范围延长至 涵盖了 COVID-19 之前和之后的时代。 COVID-19 对人们的影响惊人地不成比例 西班牙裔人口促使我们重点关注确定 COVID-19 大流行是如何发生的 改变了西班牙裔美国人的青少年和早期生育能力。共同努力，我们的方法将 揭示对于更全面地了解西班牙裔青少年至关重要的模式 生育率，包括其发生（或未发生）变化以及观察到的任何变化的原因。