Meta-analysis of Risk for School Failure

学业失败风险的荟萃分析

• 批准号: 6918105
• 负责人: SANDRA J WILSON
• 金额: $ 19.83万
• 依托单位: VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2005
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2005-05-01 至 2008-02-28
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/6918105
• 关键词: academic achievement; adolescence (12-20); behavior prediction; behavioral /social science research tag; child (0-11); child behavior disorders; comorbidity; educational psychology; elementary school; gender difference; human data; information retrieval; literature survey; longitudinal human study; mental health information system; meta analysis; outcomes research; racial /ethnic difference; remedial /special education; secondary schools; socioeconomics; statistics /biometry; substance abuse related behavior; success

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): School failure and related problems are not only adverse events in their own right for the children who experience them, but are also related to a broad range of subsequent negative adolescent and adult outcomes. This circumstance makes it especially important to identify and understand the risk factors that predict school failure for purposes of selecting and diagnosing children in need of remedial services, designing preventive programs to offset risk factors and enhance protective ones, and guiding research on the causal processes that produce poor school outcomes. Research relevant to this issue includes a large number of longitudinal studies in which school outcomes and antecedent risk/protective variables are measured. However, no review paper, conceptual model, or systematic synthesis has yet drawn on the full depth and breadth of this research literature to compile, organize, and analyze the empirical relationships it reports. The overall aim of this project is to conduct a systematic synthesis of this body of research using advanced meta-analysis technique in order to address the following issues: 1. The capability of risk and protective variables observed during different age periods to predict school success or failure at later ages. The predictive ability of these variables will be examined in terms of the overall strength of association (product-moment correlation) and in terms of predictive accuracy (e.g., sensitivity and specificity). 2. The combinations of risk and protective variables that tend to co-occur during different age periods and the strength of their collective predictive ability when combined in multivariate factors. Particular attention will be paid to the convergence of empirical data with theoretical formulations about associations between risk/protective factors and school outcomes. 3. The extent of the co-occurrence (comorbidity) of school failure with other problem behaviors such as externalizing and internalizing behaviors and substance use at various age periods. 4. The differences in predictive relationships between risk/protective variables and school success/failure associated with the age, gender, and ethnicity of the students.

描述（由申请人提供）：学校的失败和相关问题不仅是对经历它们的孩子本身的不利事件，而且与随后的负面青少年和成人成果有关。这种情况使识别和理解预测学校失败的风险因素特别重要，以选择和诊断需要补救服务的儿童，设计预防性计划以抵消风险因素并增强保护性因素，并指导对产生不良学校成果的因果过程的研究。 与此问题相关的研究包括大量的纵向研究，其中测量了学校结果和前提风险/保护变量。但是，尚未根据本研究文献的完整深度和广度来汇编，组织和分析其报告的经验关系。该项目的总体目的是使用先进的荟萃分析技术对这项研究进行系统综合，以解决以下问题： 1。在不同年龄期间观察到的风险和保护变量的能力，以预测以后的学校成功或失败。这些变量的预测能力将根据关联的总体强度（产品时相关性）和预测准确性（例如灵敏度和特异性）来检查。 2。在不同年龄段期间往往同时发生的风险和保护变量的组合以及在多元因素中合并时其集体预测能力的强度。特别关注经验数据的融合以及有关风险/保护因素和学校结果之间关联的理论表述。 3。学校失败的同时出现（合并症）与其他问题行为（例如外部化和内在化行为以及在不同年龄段）使用的程度。 4。风险/保护变量与学校成功/失败之间的预测关系差异与学生的年龄，性别和种族有关。