Modelling determinants of fertility among UK-born ethnic minorities using multilevel simultaneous equations event history models and the parametric g-

使用多级联立方程事件历史模型和参数 g- 对英国出生的少数民族的生育率决定因素进行建模

• 批准号: 2748273
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: University of St Andrews
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Studentship
• 财政年份: 2022
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2022 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=studentship-2748273
• 关键词: Modelling; determinants; fertility; among; UK

With industrialisation, as women have started working and the concept of the nuclear family has been demolished, a low fertility rate has been a social risk in some developed countries. The UK is one of the countries that experience a declined fertility rate, however, there are certain ethnic groups that still have a high fertility rate in the UK. Some UK-born ethnic women, whose parents are from countries that have high fertility rates, have higher birth rates than native British women. Previous studies suggest that cultural and normative factors are the reasons for large families, whereas others address that the lack of education and employment prospects among ethnic minorities are the main factors; nonetheless, the reason for high fertility rates among certain ethnic groups is unclear. Most research about the fertility rate of ethnic minorities does not differentiate immigrants' descendants from immigrants when investigating determinants of birth rate. In addition, previous scholars have focused on the total fertility rate, utilising averages. Contrastingly, my research will consider fertility rate and their influencing factors on an individual level, considering UK-born ethnic minorities by parity. Factors affecting fertility behaviours are complex and inter-dependent. Cultural and normative perspectives, which often are not adequately measured by survey data, and longitudinal trajectories in different life-domains - such as employment and partnership - could also have impacts on fertility patterns. My PhD research intends to make methodological but substantive contributions by comparing the performance of two different methods to account for both unobserved and time-varying confounders; Simultaneous Equation Event History Analysis and the Parametric g-formula. This study, hence, explores determinants of fertility among UK-born ethnic minority women by parity. The research question is, "Which factors cause high fertility rates among certain UK-born ethnic minority women?" This study plans to utilise individual-level data from the UK Household Longitudinal Study - Understanding Society - which covers more than 50,000 individuals in the UK including various ethnic groups. Retrospective fertility, marital status and employment status were collected, and these are supplemented by prospective data on changes within the panel. The dataset also involves essential socio-demographic factors including education level, religious affiliation, and the countries of birth of the respondents and their parents. Therefore, this dataset will be helpful to understand the comprehensive impact of socio-economic and cultural-normative factors on the childbearing behaviour of UK-born ethnic minority women. Training includes various areas such as theoretical background, review of literature, and research skills. These have been conducted (and will be conducting) through auditing some courses regarding the subject of human geography and advanced quantitative analysis from the University of St. Andrews, as well as taking doctoral training programmes at the SGSSS (Scottish Graduate School of Social Science). Additionally, there will be regular supervision to get advice on my research and discuss general matters considering undertaking PhD.

随着工业化的工作，随着妇女的开始工作，核心家庭的概念被拆除了，在某些发达国家，低生育率一直是社会风险。英国是生育率下降的国家之一，但是，某些族裔群体在英国仍有很高的生育率。一些英国出生的族裔妇女的父母来自生育率高的国家，其出生率高于英国土著妇女。先前的研究表明，文化和规范性因素是大家庭的原因，而其他因素是少数民族中缺乏教育和就业前景的主要因素是主要因素。尽管如此，某些族裔群体中高生育率的原因尚不清楚。在调查出生率决定因素时，大多数关于少数民族生育率的研究并不能区分移民的后代与移民的后代。此外，以前的学者利用平均值集中在总生育率上。相反，我的研究将考虑到出生于英国少数民族的少数族裔的生育率及其在个人层面上的影响因素。影响生育行为的因素是复杂且相互依赖的。通常无法通过调查数据来充分衡量的文化和规范观点，以及不同生活域（例如就业和伙伴关系）中的纵向轨迹也可能对生育模式产生影响。我的博士学位研究旨在通过比较两种不同的方法来说明未观察到的混杂因素，从而做出方法论上但实质性的贡献。同时进行方程事件历史分析和参数G形式。因此，这项研究探讨了英国出生的少数民族妇女在平等上的生育能力的决定因素。研究问题是：“哪些因素导致某些出生于英国的少数民族妇女的生育率高？”这项研究计划利用来自英国家庭纵向研究的个人级别数据 - 了解社会 - 涵盖了英国50,000多个人，包括各种族裔。收集了回顾性的生育能力，婚姻状况和就业状况，并且通过小组中的变化进行了预期数据补充。该数据集还涉及基本的社会人口统计学因素，包括教育水平，宗教信仰以及受访者及其父母的出生国家。因此，该数据集将有助于了解社会经济和文化规范性因素对英国出生的少数民族妇女的生育行为的全面影响。培训包括各种领域，例如理论背景，文献综述和研究技能。这些是通过审核圣安德鲁斯大学人类地理和高级定量分析的一些课程（并将进行）的，并在SGSSS（苏格兰社会科学研究生院）进行博士学位培训课程。 。此外，还将有定期监督以获取有关我的研究的建议，并讨论考虑攻读博士学位的一般事项。