PREDICTORS OF ADOLESCENT ECSTASY USE IN NATIONAL SURVEY

国家调查中青少年使用摇头丸的预测因素

• 批准号: 7046537
• 负责人: Silvia Saboia Martins
• 金额: $ 8.15万
• 依托单位: JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2005
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2005-09-30 至 2007-06-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/7046537
• 关键词: 3,4 methylenedioxymethamphetamine; adolescence (12-20); aggression; attitude; behavioral /social science research tag; clinical research; drug abuse; drug abuse education; high risk behavior /lifestyle; human data; longitudinal human study; mathematical model; middle childhood (6-11); parent offspring interaction; socioenvironment; substance abuse epidemiology; substance abuse related behavior

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): During the past decade the prevalence of ecstasy use has increased in the U.S. and in other countries. particularly among adolescents and young adults. Potential determinants that predict future ecstasy use in adolescence are understudied. Specifically, there is a lack of longitudinal research designed to control temporal sequencing and estimate the extent to which factors predict increased risk of ecstasy use. To address these gaps, the proposed study aims to: 1) test if the prevalence and incidence of ecstasy use in adolescence vary in relation to demographic and geographic variables over time; 2) test whether previous deviant behaviors, previous high sensation-seeking scores and prior other drug use predict subsequent ecstasy use among adolescents; 3) test whether previous low levels of parent monitoring and high levels of peer ecstasy use predict subsequent ecstasy use among adolescents; 4) test for changes in attitudes and beliefs towards ecstasy use among adolescents and test whether exposure to an anti-drug media campaign might have influenced adolescents' attitudes towards ecstasy use. Longitudinal data from the National Survey of Parents and Youth (NSPY), an epidemiologic study representative of the adolescent U.S. population (9-18 yeas old) will be used to address these aims. After initial exploratory data analyses, we will analyze data through cross-sectional and longitudinal logistic regression models to address each of the specific aims. First, we will estimate associations of prevalence and incidence of ecstasy use with demographics (age, gender, race/ethnicity), then, we will use alternating logistic regression to test whether there is evidence of clustering of adolescent ecstasy use by region of the country. Using longitudinal regression marginal models, we will test whether previous deviant behaviors, high sensation-seeking scores and high levels of prior other drug use predict subsequent ecstasy use among adolescents, as well as examine if lower levels of parent monitoring and high levels of peer ecstasy use predict subsequent ecstasy use among adolescents. Logistic regression models will test for changes in attitudes and beliefs towards ecstasy use among adolescents and to test whether exposure to an anti-drug media campaign influenced adolescents' attitudes towards ecstasy use. Finally, we believe that our study will bring public health contributions to better understand potential determinants of ecstasy use.

描述（由申请人提供）：在过去的十年中，美国和其他国家的摇头丸使用流行率有所增加。特别是在青少年和年轻人中。预测未来青少年使用摇头丸的潜在决定因素尚未得到充分研究。具体来说，缺乏旨在控制时间顺序和估计因素预测摇头丸使用风险增加的程度的纵向研究。为了解决这些差距，拟议的研究旨在：1）测试青少年使用摇头丸的流行率和发生率是否随着时间的推移而随着人口和地理变量的变化而变化； 2）测试之前的异常行为、之前的高感觉寻求分数和之前的其他药物使用是否可以预测青少年随后使用摇头丸； 3) 测试先前低水平的家长监控和高水平的同伴摇头丸使用是否可以预测青少年随后的摇头丸使用； 4) 测试青少年对使用摇头丸的态度和信念的变化，并测试接触禁毒媒体宣传是否可能影响青少年对使用摇头丸的态度。全国父母和青少年调查 (NSPY) 的纵向数据将用于实现这些目标，该调查是一项代表美国青少年人口（9-18 岁）的流行病学研究。在初步探索性数据分析之后，我们将通过横截面和纵向逻辑回归模型分析数据，以解决每个具体目标。首先，我们将估计摇头丸使用流行率和发生率与人口统计数据（年龄、性别、种族/民族）的关联，然后，我们将使用交替逻辑回归来测试是否有证据表明青少年摇头丸使用按国家地区聚类。使用纵向回归边际模型，我们将测试先前的异常行为、高感觉寻求分数和高水平的先前其他药物使用是否可以预测青少年随后的摇头丸使用，并检查是否较低水平的父母监控和高水平的同伴摇头丸使用预测青少年随后使用摇头丸的情况。逻辑回归模型将测试青少年对摇头丸使用的态度和信念的变化，并测试接触禁毒媒体运动是否影响青少年对摇头丸使用的态度。最后，我们相信我们的研究将为公共卫生做出贡献，以更好地了解摇头丸使用的潜在决定因素。