Atomic Anxiety in the New Nuclear Age: How Can Arms Control and Disarmament Reduce the Risk of Nuclear War?

新核时代的原子焦虑：军控与裁军如何降低核战争风险？

• 批准号: MR/X034690/1
• 负责人: Rhys Crilley
• 金额: $ 146.51万
• 依托单位: University of Glasgow
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Fellowship
• 财政年份: 2024
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2024 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=MR%2FX034690%2F1
• 关键词: Atomic; Anxiety; New; Nuclear; Age; Atomic; Anxiety; New; Nuclear; Age

This project examines how nuclear arms control and disarmament efforts can be developed to reduce and avert the risk of nuclear conflict. According to the Secretary General of the United Nations, the world has entered 'a time of nuclear danger not seen since the height of the Cold War'. This dangerous 'new nuclear age' is the result of arms control treaties collapsing, rising tensions between nuclear weapon states, and threats to use nuclear weapons such as those made by Vladimir Putin, who has warned of 'ominous consequences' against anyone who opposes his invasion of Ukraine. At the same time, all of the nuclear weapon states are modernising or increasing their nuclear arsenals. In this context of heightened atomic anxiety, this project investigates how the legitimacy of nuclear weapons is communicated, constructed, and contested, and then examines how nuclear arms control and disarmament efforts can be improved based on these insights. Despite the catastrophic potential of even a small nuclear conflict, states continue to maintain, modernise, and increase their nuclear weapons arsenals. Why? This project addresses this puzzle and has two central aims. First, it seeks to understand how and why states claim legitimacy for their nuclear weapons in this 'new nuclear age', as well as understanding how other political actors and members of the public consent to, acquiesce or challenge these claims. Second, the project critically assesses how the risk of nuclear war can be mitigated through improving nuclear arms control and disarmament advocacy and mechanisms so that they gain more international support.The project delivers these aims through innovative, mixed methods research of multiple data sources. These methods include: 1) documentary analysis of policy documents, military doctrine, and diplomatic statements, 2) discourse analysis of news media and social media content on the topic of nuclear weapons, 3) interviews and focus groups with policymakers, nuclear arms control and disarmament advocates, and members of the public. The project will support two post-doctoral positions and a PhD studentship (funded by the University of Glasgow), thereby building capacity for a world-leading team on nuclear arms control and disarmament.Through this research, the project will provide: a) a global mapping of all UN member state policies and their framing of nuclear weapons in the 'new nuclear age', b) an understanding of global opinion about nuclear weapons, arms control, and disarmament, that will inform c) a theory of change for how arms control and disarmament efforts can be developed and improved, so as to further reduce the risk of nuclear conflict, by for example, building support for arms control and disarmament with international policymakers and the public. In doing so, the project contributes to academic literatures on international security, nuclear disarmament, and social movements. Significantly, the project also has high impact utility for policymakers and advocacy organisations who have agreed to be project partners - such as the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (winners of the 2017 Nobel Peace Prize), the Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament, the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation, the British American Security Information Council, and Reaching Critical Will - who work to reduce the risk of nuclear war.

该项目研究了如何制定核武器控制和裁军努力，以减少和避免核冲突的风险。根据联合国秘书长的说法，世界进入了“自冷战高峰以来未见的核危险时期”。这个危险的“新核时代”是军备控制条约崩溃，核武器国家之间的紧张局势的崛起以及使用诸如弗拉基米尔·普京（Vladimir Putin）这样的核武器的威胁，后者警告任何反对侵入乌克兰的人的“不祥后果”。同时，所有核武器国家都在现代化或增加其核武库。在这种加剧的原子焦虑症的情况下，该项目研究了如何通过这些见解来调查核武器的合法性，然后研究如何改善核武器控制和解除武器努力。尽管即使是小型核冲突的灾难性潜力，各州仍在继续维持，现代化和增加其核武器武器库。为什么？该项目解决了这个难题，并具有两个核心目标。首先，它试图了解国家在这个“新的核时代”中如何以及为什么要求其核武器合法性，并了解其他政治行为者和公众同意如何默许，默许或挑战这些主张。其次，该项目批判性地评估了如何通过改善核武器控制和裁军的倡导和机制来减轻核战争的风险，从而获得更多的国际支持。该项目通过多种数据来源的创新，混合的方法研究来实现这些目标。这些方法包括：1）政策文件，军事学说和外交陈述的文献分析，2）关于核武器主题的新闻媒体和社交媒体内容的论述分析，3）访谈和焦点小组与决策者，核武器控制和裁军倡导者以及公众成员。 The project will support two post-doctoral positions and a PhD studentship (funded by the University of Glasgow), thereby building capacity for a world-leading team on nuclear arms control and disarmament.Through this research, the project will provide: a) a global mapping of all UN member state policies and their framing of nuclear weapons in the 'new nuclear age', b) an understanding of global opinion about nuclear weapons, arms control, and disarmament, that will inform c)关于如何发展和改善军备控制和裁军努力的变革理论，以进一步降低核冲突的风险，例如，建立对国际决策者和公众武器控制和裁军的支持。为此，该项目有助于有关国际安全，核裁军和社会运动的学术文献。值得注意的是，该项目还对同意成为项目合作伙伴的政策制定者和倡导组织也具有很大的影响力，例如废除核武器的国际运动（2017年诺贝尔和平奖的获奖者），核裁缝运动，核时代和平基金会，英国美国安全信息委员会以及核核委员会以及降低风险降低风险的人。