A pathway design framework and development strategies for transport decarbonization towards carbon neutrality

交通脱碳迈向碳中和的路径设计框架和发展策略

• 批准号: 21KK0208
• 负责人: 張 潤森
• 金额: $ 7.9万
• 依托单位: The University of Tokyo (2022)Hiroshima University (2021)
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Fund for the Promotion of Joint International Research (Fostering Joint International Research (A))
• 财政年份: 2022
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 2022 至 2024
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-21KK0208/
• 关键词: transport model; energy system model; transport; decarbonization; pathway; strategy; carbon neutrality

In the fiscal year 2022, our research focus was mainly on constructing a regional transport model and an energy system model using China's 31 provinces as a case study. The transport model was developed to offer spatially flexible and temporally dynamic simulations of transport demand and modal choices for the transport sector, while the energy system model was developed to provide a bottom-up technology detailed recursive dynamic optimization model with a detailed technology selection framework. We collected data related to regional transportation and energy system to build the models. On the one hand, historical data on socioeconomic factors such as GDP, population, transport infrastructure supply, land use, transport cost, and transport demand were collected to estimate the parameters of the transport model for projecting the future passenger and freight transport demand. On the other hand, a detailed technology database, which includes information on the transportation device such as lifetime, initial costs, operation and maintenance costs, energy efficiency, and emission factors, was built for energy system modeling.

2022财年，我们的研究重点主要是构建区域交通模型和能源系统模型，以中国31个省份为例。开发运输模型是为了提供运输部门的运输需求和模式选择的空间灵活和时间动态模拟，而能源系统模型的开发是为了提供自下而上的技术详细递归动态优化模型以及详细的技术选择框架。我们收集了与区域交通和能源系统相关的数据来构建模型。一方面，收集GDP、人口、交通基础设施供应、土地利用、交通成本、交通需求等社会经济因素的历史数据，估算交通模型参数，预测未来客运和货运需求。另一方面，建立了详细的技术数据库，用于能源系统建模，其中包括运输设备的寿命、初始成本、运营和维护成本、能源效率和排放因子等信息。

项目成果

Assessing the impacts of COVID-19 on carbon emissions from the road transport sector in China (Chapt 26 in: Transportation Amid Pandemics: Practices and Policies)

评估 COVID-19 对中国道路运输行业碳排放的影响（第 26 章：大流行期间的运输：实践和政策）

• 发表时间: 2022
• 作者: Runsen Zhang;Junyi Zhang;Wenchao Wu;Tatsuya Hanaoka
• 通讯作者: Tatsuya Hanaoka

How the transport sector is addressing the opportunities and challenges of carbon neutrality?

交通运输部门如何应对碳中和的机遇和挑战？

• 发表时间: 2022
• 作者: Junyi Zhang;Tao Feng;Jing Kang;Shuangjin Li;Rui Liu;Shuang Ma;Baoxin Zhai;Runsen Zhang;Hongxiang Ding & Taoxing Zhu;Runsen Zhang;Runsen Zhang;Runsen Zhang;Runsen Zhang;Runsen Zhang
• 通讯作者: Runsen Zhang

Integrated scenarios and strategies for transport decarbonization toward carbon neutrality

交通脱碳实现碳中和的综合情景和策略

• 发表时间: 2022
• 作者: Junyi Zhang;Tao Feng;Jing Kang;Shuangjin Li;Rui Liu;Shuang Ma;Baoxin Zhai;Runsen Zhang;Hongxiang Ding & Taoxing Zhu;Runsen Zhang;Runsen Zhang
• 通讯作者: Runsen Zhang

Integrated scenarios for designing carbon-neutral transport pathways in China

中国碳中和运输路径设计的综合方案

• 发表时间: 2022
• 作者: Runsen Zhang;Tatsuya Hanaoka
• 通讯作者: Tatsuya Hanaoka

Commentary from Achieving Net Zero

实现净零排放的评论