Populism and Foreign Policy

民粹主义与外交政策

• 批准号: 451375110
• 负责人: Professorin Dr. Sandra Destradi
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: GIGA Institut für Asien-Studien
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Research Grants
• 资助国家: 德国
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/451375110?language=en
• 关键词: Populism; Foreign; Policy

What are the international implications of the rise of populist governments all over the world? Prominent recent episodes – from U.S. President Trump’s retreat from the Iran nuclear deal to Brexit – suggest that populists, once they get elected and form governments, overthrow existing commitments to multilateralism and global governance and pursue more aggressive policies than their non-populist predecessors. Yet, our previous work on the Global South (Plagemann/Destradi 2019a; Destradi/Plagemann 2019) suggests that this is not always the case. In some cases, populists are even more open to multilateralism or more willing to contribute to the provision of global public goods than their non-populist predecessors. The proposed project aims to make sense of these variations in the impact of populist government formation on foreign policy. Since the study of the international implications of populist government formation is a nascent and still almost untheorized field, the project takes an explorative approach. It aims to assess and theorize the impact of populism on foreign policy. Its main research question is the following: To what extent and why does the formation of populist governments lead to changes in foreign policy? The project focuses on four broad fields: a) governments’ international conflict behavior; b) their contributions to global governance; c) their support for international institutions; and d) their re-orientation towards populist and/or autocratic international partners. Empirical analyses are based on in-depth case studies of continuity and change in foreign policy after the formation of populist governments in five countries: Bolivia (Morales, 2006-2019), India (Modi, 2014-2020), Turkey (Erdoğan, 2003-2020), Italy (the League-Five Star Movement all-populist coalition government, 2018-2019), and the Philippines (Duterte, 2016-2020). These cases were selected as they display variation in the ‘thick’ ideologies espoused by populists in power as well as on other theoretically relevant dimensions. The project is structured in two Work Packages (WPs). WP1 takes stock of changes in foreign policy after the formation of populist governments by comparing the foreign policies of each populist government with that of its non-populist predecessor (within-case comparison) across the four fields (a-d). WP1 also addresses shifts in the processes of foreign policy-making in each case. WP2 answers the second part of the research question (‘why?’). It compares foreign policy change after populist government formation across cases. It uses such comparison for theory-building by taking an abductive approach and develops, assesses, and refines theoretical expectations about the mechanisms through which populism impacts foreign policy. The project is designed to combine the search for generalizable patterns across cases with careful attention to context conditions and in-depth knowledge of each case.

全世界民粹主义政府兴起的国际含义是什么？最近的一集 - 来自美国总统特朗普从伊朗核协议撤退到英国退欧的著作表明，民粹主义者一旦当选并组建了政府，就推翻了对多边主义和全球治理的现有承诺，并比非民群体的前者更加积极的政策。然而，我们以前在全球南方的工作（Plagemann/Destradi 2019a； Destradi/Plagemann 2019）表明，情况并非总是如此。在某些情况下，与非人口主义的前辈相比，民粹主义者更开放多边主义或更愿意为全球公共物品做出贡献。拟议的项目旨在理解民粹主义政府形成对外交政策的影响的这些差异。由于对民粹主义政府形成的国际影响的研究是一个新生且几乎没有理论的领域，因此该项目采用了一种探索的方法。它旨在评估民粹主义对外交政策的影响。它旨在评估民粹主义对外交政策的影响。它的主要研究问题是：民粹主义政府在多大程度上以及为什么导致外交政策的变化？该项目着重于四个广泛领域：a）政府的国际冲突行为； b）他们对全球治理的贡献； c）他们对国际机构的支持； d）他们对民粹主义和/或专制国际合作伙伴的重新定位。经验分析基于五个国家的民粹主义政府形成后的连续性和外交政策变化的深入案例研究：玻利维亚（莫拉莱斯，2006- 2019年），印度（莫迪，2014 - 2020年），土耳其，土耳其（埃尔多恩，2003-2020），意大利，伊利诺伊州（联盟竞争阵行），全天候的菲利普尔·菲利斯·托提政府，2018年，2018年，2018年，2018年，2018年，2018年，（2018年） 2016-2020）。选择这些案例是因为它们在权力和其他理论上相关的维度所拥护的“厚”意识形态中显示出差异。该项目以两个工作包（WPS）结构。在民粹主义政府形成后，WP1通过将每个民粹主义政府的外交政策与其在四个领域（A-D）跨四个领域的非民间政府的前任（A-D）进行比较，从而消除了外交政策的变化。 WP1还解决了每种情况下外交政策制定过程中的变化。 WP2回答了研究问题的第二部分（“为什么？”）。它比较了在案件中民粹政府成立后的外交政策变化。它通过采取绑架方法和发展，评估并完善对民粹主义影响外交政策的机制的理论期望来使用这种比较来建设理论。该项目旨在将搜索范围内的搜索方式结合在一起，以仔细注意上下文条件和对每种情况的深入了解。