CAREER: Governance of Computer Models in Sustainable Water Quality Management

职业：可持续水质管理中的计算机模型治理

• 批准号: 2238552
• 负责人: Theodore Lim
• 金额: $ 50万
• 依托单位: Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2023-05-01 至 2028-04-30
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2238552&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: CAREER; Governance; Computer; Models; Sustainable

Computer models are used to understand and manage nearly every aspect of modern life and are increasingly embedded in organizations and institutions. However, despite scientific data inputs, modeling is heavily influenced by social and political factors. This is especially true in the management of our most pressing environmental problems, in which there are many diverse actors and conflicting values and interests. Through in-depth analysis of international water quality management organizations, this project addresses the process of how models are made and how this process can be improved through better “model governance” – the rules and processes adopted within an organization to shape individual and group actions around how models are developed and used. Better understanding of model governance will improve how science is used in environmental policies. The project is developing workshop materials for practitioners, as well as novel undergraduate and K12 experiences to link the fields of environmental science and policy.The project’s overall objective is to build a quantitative meta-model that can predict future states of a scientific model. The project is identifying the parameters, conditions, and processes that how actors and governance structures shape model development. The overall objective is supported by three interconnected activities: (1) systems dynamics modeling, (2) comparative case study, and (3) education, outreach, and engagement that will inform future iterations of the meta-model. The project is solidifying an integrative theory of model governance, comprising both a qualitative framework and quantitative operationalization. Improved computer model governance will transform understanding of science-based environmental policy, including building public trust in computer models and reducing uncertainty that is created by social and political factors embedded in models. The quantitative meta-model will create a key link for modular social-ecological systems modeling: that of how the knowledge embedded in the computer models that organizations use for decision-making is updated in an iterative and adaptive way.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

计算机模型用于理解和管理现代生活的几乎各个方面，并且越来越多地嵌入到组织和机构中。然而，尽管有科学的数据输入，建模仍受到社会和政治因素的严重影响，这在我们大多数人的管理中尤其如此。该项目通过对国际水质管理组织的深入分析，探讨了模型的制作过程以及如何更好地改进这一过程。 “模型治理”——组织内采用的规则和流程，以塑造个人和围绕如何开发和使用模型的集体行动将改善科学在环境政策中的应用，该项目正在为从业者开发研讨会材料，以及将环境科学和 K12 领域联系起来的新颖的本科生和 K12 经验。该项目的总体目标是建立一个可以预测科学模型未来状态的定量元模型，该项目正在确定参与者和治理结构如何塑造模型开发的参数、条件和流程。通过三个相互关联的活动：（1）系统动力学建模， (2) 比较案例研究，(3) 教育、推广和参与，将为元模型的未来迭代提供信息。该项目正在巩固模型治理的综合理论，包括定性框架和定量操作化。模型治理将改变对基于科学的环境政策的理解，包括建立公众对计算机模型的信任，并减少模型中嵌入的社会和政治因素造成的不确定性。定量元模型将为模块化社会生态系统创建关键环节。建模：知识如何嵌入到模型中组织用于决策的计算机模型以迭代和自适应的方式更新。该奖项反映了 NSF 的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的智力价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。