Belmont Forum Collaborative Research: Future ArcTic Ecosystems (FATE): drivers of diversity and future scenarios from ethno-ecology, contemporary ecology and ancient DNA

贝尔蒙特论坛合作研究：未来北极生态系统（FATE）：民族生态学、当代生态学和古代 DNA 的多样性驱动因素和未来情景

• 批准号: 1850949
• 负责人: Beth Shapiro
• 金额: $ 18.62万
• 依托单位: University of California-Santa Cruz
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 2019
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2019-03-15 至 2022-02-28
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1850949&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Belmont; Forum; Collaborative; Research; Future

Innovative research on the complex interaction of socio-economic and global environmental trends on biodiversity and ecosystem services is needed to help develop more informative scenarios for addressing environmental and human development challenges. Coupled natural-human systems; improved scenarios of biodiversity; and ecosystem services that couple the outputs of both direct and indirect drivers such as land use change, invasive alien species, overexploitation, environmental change, pollution, and models of impacts of these drivers on biodiversity and ecosystem service are needed to overcome these challenges. These holistic approaches provide a methodological state-of-the art that results in more accurate quantitative assessments and environmental co-benefits of biodiversity and ecosystem services. This research builds on such methodology to examine changes in Arctic ecosystems that are currently experiencing dramatic change with immediate impacts on ecosystem services involving food production, climate regulation, natural resources, and cultural integrity. This research will integrate indigenous knowledge and cutting-edge scientific approaches to develop long-term profiles of changes in the distribution and abundance of key Arctic species over time. Broader impacts of the work include international collaboration between Norway, Sweden, Finland, France, Germany, Canada, and Denmark as well as UNESCO. This large international collaboration will help build bridges between countries and communities with interests in the Arctic; engage stakeholders ranging from local communities to national environmental protection agencies, including indigenous peoples; and develop a far-reaching and rich, public data resource on Arctic systems that will be available to natural and social scientists across countries and disciplines. In addition to the development of new processes that will allow the recovery of ancient DNA from sediments and their integration with other data types, this project will develop ecological forecasting models that incorporate how the diversity of organisms in the Arctic has changed in the past and is likely to change in the future. Additional impacts include the integration of science and education and training students to be the next generation of international scholars. This award supports U.S. researchers participating in a project competitively selected by a coalition of 26 funding agencies from 23 countries through the Belmont Forum call for proposals on "Scenarios of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services". The call was a multilateral initiative designed to support research projects that contribute to the development of scenarios, models, and decision-support tools for understanding and solving critical issues facing our planet. The goal of the competition was to improve and apply participatory scenario methods to enhance research relevance and its acceptance and to address gaps in methods for modelling impact drivers and policy interventions. It was also to develop and communicate levels of uncertainty associated with the models, to improve data accessibility, and fill gaps in knowledge. Funds support U.S. participants in a large international consortium that will develop ecological forecasting models that incorporate chemical, physical, and multi-taxa ecological data. The models will include input from a broad spectrum of stakeholders, including indigenous peoples. Goals of this project are to dramatically improve understanding how the diversity of organisms in the Arctic has changed over time and is likely to change in the future. Participants in this effort from other countries are funded through their associated national funding organizations. The U.S. component of the work will generate records of the changing distribution and abundance of plants and animals across the Late Pleistocene and Holocene by isolating environmental DNA from long sediment cores collected from lakes across the circumpolar North. These data will be combined with that from international collaborators about changes in the distribution and abundance of species over time taken from records from local communities and indigenous peoples extending back generations. The full suite of information will be used to address: how the diversity of living organisms has changed over time at different locations in the Arctic; determine how different these changes have been across space and time; tease out what the ecological and anthropogenic drivers appear to be in changes in Arctic biodiversity; and figure out how to combine quantitative ecosystems measurements with anecdotal and recorded accounts from local communities who interact with the vegetation, climate, herbivory, and other anthropogenic influences. With this information, model-generated scenarios will be created that support sustainable ecosystem management in the face of accelerating socio-ecological transformations occurring throughout the circumpolar North.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

需要对社会经济和全球环境趋势对生物多样性和生态系统服务的复杂相互作用进行创新研究，以帮助制定更多信息丰富的方案来应对环境和人类发展挑战。 耦合的自然-人类系统；改善生物多样性情景；为了克服这些挑战，需要将直接和间接驱动因素的产出结合起来的生态系统服务，例如土地利用变化、外来入侵物种、过度开发、环境变化、污染以及这些驱动因素对生物多样性和生态系统服务的影响模型。 这些整体方法提供了最先进的方法，可以实现更准确的定量评估以及生物多样性和生态系统服务的环境协同效益。这项研究以这种方法为基础，研究北极生态系统的变化，这些生态系统目前正在经历巨大的变化，对涉及粮食生产、气候调节、自然资源和文化完整性的生态系统服务产生直接影响。这项研究将整合本土知识和尖端科学方法，以开发北极主要物种分布和丰度随时间变化的长期概况。这项工作的更广泛影响包括挪威、瑞典、芬兰、法国、德国、加拿大和丹麦以及教科文组织之间的国际合作。 这项大型国际合作将有助于在对北极感兴趣的国家和社区之间架起桥梁；吸引从当地社区到国家环境保护机构（包括土著人民）的利益相关者的参与；开发有关北极系统的影响深远且丰富的公共数据资源，供各个国家和学科的自然和社会科学家使用。除了开发新的流程以从沉积物中恢复古代 DNA 并将其与其他数据类型整合之外，该项目还将开发生态预测模型，其中包含北极生物多样性在过去和现在的变化情况。未来可能会改变。其他影响包括科学与教育的融合以及培养学生成为下一代国际学​​者。该奖项支持美国研究人员参与一个项目，该项目由来自 23 个国家的 26 个资助机构组成的联盟通过贝尔蒙特论坛征集“生物多样性和生态系统服务情景”提案而竞争性选出。此次呼吁是一项多边倡议，旨在支持有助于开发情景、模型和决策支持工具的研究项目，以理解和解决我们星球面临的关键问题。 竞赛的目标是改进和应用参与式情景方法，以提高研究的相关性和接受度，并解决影响驱动因素和政策干预建模方法中的差距。它还旨在开发和传达与模型相关的不确定性水平，提高数据可访问性并填补知识空白。资金支持大型国际联盟的美国参与者，该联盟将开发包含化学、物理和多类群生态数据的生态预测模型。这些模型将包括包括土著人民在内的广泛利益相关者的意见。该项目的目标是极大地提高人们对北极生物多样性如何随时间变化以及未来可能发生变化的了解。 来自其他国家的参与者通过其相关的国家资助组织获得资助。这项工作的美国部分将通过从环极地北部湖泊收集的长沉积岩芯中分离环境 DNA，记录更新世晚期和全新世动植物的分布和丰度变化。这些数据将与国际合作者提供的有关物种分布和丰度随时间变化的数据相结合，这些数据取自当地社区和土著人民的世代相传的记录。全套信息将用于解决：北极不同地点的生物体多样性如何随着时间的推移而变化；确定这些变化在空间和时间上的差异有多大；梳理出北极生物多样性变化的生态和人为驱动因素；并找出如何将定量生态系统测量与当地社区与植被、气候、食草动物和其他人为影响相互作用的轶事和记录账户结合起来。有了这些信息，将创建模型生成的场景，以支持可持续生态系统管理，以应对整个环极地北部发生的加速社会生态转型。该奖项反映了 NSF 的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的智力评估进行评估，被认为值得支持。优点和更广泛的影响审查标准。

项目成果

Sedimentary DNA and molecular evidence for early human occupation of the Faroe Islands

早期人类占领法罗群岛的沉积 DNA 和分子证据

• DOI: 10.1038/s43247-021-00318-0
• 发表时间: 2021-12
• 期刊: Communications Earth & Environment
• 影响因子: 7.9
• 作者: Curtin, Lorelei;D’Andrea, William J.;Balascio, Nicholas L.;Shirazi, Sabrina;Shapiro, Beth;de Wet, Gregory A.;Bradley, Raymond S.;Bakke, Jostein
• 通讯作者: Bakke, Jostein

Archaeological Recovery of Late Pleistocene Hair and Environmental DNA from Interior Alaska

阿拉斯加内陆更新世晚期毛发和环境 DNA 的考古恢复

• DOI: 10.1080/14614103.2022.2031836
• 发表时间: 2022-01
• 期刊: Environmental Archaeology
• 影响因子: 1.5
• 作者: Wygal, Brian T.;Krasinski, Kathryn E.;Metcalfe, Jessica Z.;McMahan, David;Holmes, Charles E.;Crass, Barbara A.;Wriston, Teresa A.;Shirazi, Sabrina;Vershinina, Alisa;Shapiro, Beth
• 通讯作者: Shapiro, Beth

Revisiting the effect of PCR replication and sequencing depth on biodiversity metrics in environmental DNA metabarcoding

重新审视 PCR 复制和测序深度对环境 DNA 元条形码中生物多样性指标的影响

• DOI: 10.1002/ece3.8239
• 发表时间: 2021-11
• 期刊: Ecology and Evolution
• 影响因子: 2.6
• 作者: Shirazi, Sabrina;Meyer, Rachel S.;Shapiro, Beth
• 通讯作者: Shapiro, Beth