Collaborative Research: P2C2: Reconstructing Northeast Mexico Hydroclimate since the Last Interglacial Period

合作研究：P2C2：重建末次间冰期以来墨西哥东北部的水文气候

• 批准号: 1804512
• 负责人: William McGee
• 金额: $ 10.34万
• 依托单位: Massachusetts Institute of Technology
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2019
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2019-02-01 至 2022-01-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1804512&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Collaborative; Research; P2C2; Reconstructing; Northeast

The majority of climate models show enhanced aridity throughout Mexico as a result of climatic warming. However, instrumental data, existing paleoclimate proxy records, and climate model simulations demonstrate that precipitation in the region exhibits substantial interannual to decadal scale variability in response to naturally recurring internal climate modes. A more complete understanding of the impacts of natural variability and forced anthropogenic climate change on water resources in Mexico and the southwestern U.S. is important given the potentially serious impacts of increased drought frequency and magnitude on economic, agricultural, and public water supply issues.Development of hydroclimate records from low latitude regions is of critical importance for assessing the response of regional climate to external forcing and internal modes of climate variability, for investigating teleconnections between the tropics and high-latitude regions, and for evaluating climate models. This work will address several key questions about the climate system, including: (1) Does NE Mexican hydroclimate vary in phase with Northern Hemisphere Summer Insolation? (2) Did abrupt decreases in Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) strength during Heinrich Events lead to dry conditions in NE Mexico? (3) Do patterns of decadal to multidecadal scale rainfall variability track Atlantic and/or Pacific sea surface temperatures?This project includes a potential for greater understanding of hydroclimate using cave deposits. The project will also contribute to the scientific training and professional development of graduate students, including one Mexican-American female, and multiple undergraduate students. The lead investigator is a Native American female and for the past six years has directed the American Indian Summer Institute in Earth System Science, a two-week residential program for Indigenous high school students. The researchers and students will incorporate aspects of this research into existing outreach efforts, including graduate school outreach at the annual Society for Advancement of Chicanos/Hispanics and Native Americans in Science (SACNAS) and American Indian Science and Engineering Society (AISES) conferences, climate science lessons at local classrooms, and presentations at the Cambridge Science Festival.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

大多数气候模型显示，由于气候变暖，整个墨西哥的干旱程度加剧。 然而，仪器数据、现有的古气候代理记录和气候模型模拟表明，该地区的降水表现出巨大的年际至十年尺度的变化，以响应自然循环的内部气候模式。 鉴于干旱频率和强度增加对经济、农业和公共供水问题可能产生严重影响，更全面地了解自然变率和人为气候变化对墨西哥和美国西南部水资源的影响非常重要。低纬度地区的水文气候记录对于评估区域气候对外部强迫和内部气候变率模式的响应、研究热带和高纬度地区之间的遥相关以及评估气候模型至关重要。这项工作将解决有关气候系统的几个关键问题，包括：（1）墨西哥东北部水文气候是否与北半球夏季日照同相变化？ (2) 海因里希事件期间大西洋经向翻转环流（AMOC）强度的突然减弱是否导致了墨西哥东北部的干旱？ (3) 十年到数十年尺度的降雨变化模式是否会跟踪大西洋和/或太平洋海面温度？该项目包括利用洞穴沉积物更好地了解水文气候的潜力。该项目还将促进研究生（包括一名墨西哥裔美国女性和多名本科生）的科学培训和专业发展。首席研究员是一位美国原住民女性，在过去的六年里一直指导美国印第安人夏季地球系统科学研究所，这是一个针对原住民高中生的为期两周的住宿项目。研究人员和学生将把这项研究的各个方面纳入现有的推广工作中，包括在年度墨西哥裔/西班牙裔和美洲原住民科学促进会 (SACNAS) 和美洲印第安人科学与工程学会 (AISES) 会议上的研究生院推广活动、气候变化该奖项反映了 NSF 的法定使命，并通过使用基金会的智力价值和更广泛的影响审查标准进行评估，被认为值得支持。

项目成果

Precipitation in Northeast Mexico Primarily Controlled by the Relative Warming of Atlantic SSTs

• DOI: 10.1029/2022gl098186
• 发表时间: 2022-02
• 期刊: Geophysical Research Letters
• 影响因子: 5.2
• 作者: K. Wright;K. Johnson;Tripti Bhattacharya;Gabriela Serrato Marks;D. McGee;D. Elsbury;Y. Peings;Jean-Louis Lacaille-Múzquiz;Gianna Lum;L. Beramendi-Orosco;G. Magnusdottir