AMPS: Collaborative Research: Stochastic Modeling of the Power Grid

AMPS：协作研究：电网随机建模

基本信息

批准号：
1736439
负责人：
Michael Ludkovski
金额：
$ 17万
依托单位：
University of California-Santa Barbara
依托单位国家：
美国
项目类别：
Standard Grant
财政年份：
2017
资助国家：
美国
起止时间：
2017-09-01 至 2022-03-31
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1736439&HistoricalAwards=false
关键词：
AMPS Collaborative Research Stochastic Modeling

项目摘要

This project will develop mathematical models for the interactions between the economic stake-holders in the modern power grid. While the electricity market is becoming decentralized, understanding the underlying market forces in the presence of fluctuating market conditions and regulations remains inadequate. Providing higher quality information and modeling aids to decision makers is crucial in the drive to achieve grid efficiency and enhanced stability. It is also central to avoiding unintended consequences that have plagued economic policy-making for the grid and for making effective regulations that incentivize aligning stakeholder behavior with societal goals, such as climate change adaptation and investment in new technologies.The project will construct rigorous stochastic models and related numerical algorithms for quantitative assessment and analysis of how to guide the grid in its "smart" evolution. The research will address (i) long-term grid evolution, in particular investment in renewable generation and competition between different producer sectors; (ii) behavior of electricity prices and related financial contracts in the new era of deep renewable penetration, micro-grids, and new requirements on grid stability. The project blends together applied mathematics, game theory, and control, and extends the reach of stochastics to a key application area. The project will contribute to inter-disciplinary training in mathematical sciences at the PhD level and will enhance the exchange of ideas between mathematicians, operations researchers, engineers, and statisticians.

该项目将开发数学模型，以用于现代电力网格中经济利益持有人之间的相互作用。尽管电力市场正变得分散，但在有波动的市场条件和法规存在下，了解基本的市场力量仍然不足。为决策者提供更高质量的信息和建模辅助工具对于实现电网效率和增强稳定性的动力至关重要。这对于避免了困扰网格的经济政策制定以及制定有效的法规，以激励利益相关者与社会目标的一致性，例如气候变化适应和对新技术的投资等有效的法规。该研究将解决（i）长期网格演变，特别是对不同生产者领域之间可再生产生和竞争的投资；（ii）在可再生渗透，微网格和网格稳定性的新时代的新时代的电价和相关财务合同的行为。该项目将应用数学，游戏理论和控制融合在一起，并将随机范围扩展到关键应用领域。该项目将有助于博士学位的数学科学跨学科培训，并将增强数学家，运营研究人员，工程师和统计学家之间思想的交流。