LTREB: Evolutionary and demographic responses to climate in natural populations

LTREB：自然种群对气候的进化和人口反应

• 批准号: 1654655
• 负责人: Diane Campbell
• 金额: $ 38.91万
• 依托单位: University of California-Irvine
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2017
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2017-02-01 至 2022-01-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1654655&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: LTREB; Evolutionary; demographic; responses; climate

The purpose of this study is to understand how a rapidly changing environment influences natural selection and population size. Many species of plants and animals can be threatened by rapid environmental change, such as an increase in frequency or severity of drought. This research will test the conditions required for a population to avoid collapse due to climate change through a process of adapting to the new environmental conditions. It will add to the longest-running data set on how selection in plants changes in response to changes in annual snowpack and pollinator availability, and to model for the first time how adaptation to these conditions allows populations to recover. It will determine how selective pressures change in response to water availability, how genetic variation in leaf and flower traits interact with climate change to affect birth and death rates, and how changes in pollination patterns and rates interact with the physical environment to influence evolutionary change. Responses of population size to climate change will be projected over the next century and provide a case study of how other species might respond. The project will include the training of diverse undergraduate and graduate students and a postdoctoral associate. Field science tours at the Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory will be led for outreach to the general public and to K-12 teachers. In addition, a citizen science project will allow the public to contribute to the building of maps of pollinator abundance across the western US.This project will continue a 10-year field experiment with common gardens near the Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory to measure natural selection on, and the extent of genetic variance in, traits of Ipomopsis aggregata subspp. aggregata and Ipomopsis tenuituba (Polemoniaceae). In combination with unique data on how absolute fitness is altered by snowmelt date, models for evolutionary rescue will be fully parameterized in nature. The relationship between selection of functional vegetative traits and water availability will be determined with two approaches: observational data on selection over two decades and a new experimental manipulation of snowmelt date and summer precipitation. The project will examine the dependence of evolutionary and demographic responses on genetic variance in traits, as measured from a full-sib breeding design. The extent of adaptive phenotypic plasticity in response to annual snowmelt date will also be incorporated into projections of population size. Although prior studies of plant adaptation to climate have emphasized vegetative traits, floral traits (shape, color, rewards, volatiles) will be modeled as well, as selection on them depends on water availability and pollinator abundance.

这项研究的目的是了解迅速变化的环境如何影响自然选择和种群规模。许多物种的动植物可能会受到快速环境变化的威胁，例如干旱的频率或严重程度的增加。这项研究将通过适应新的环境条件的过程来测试由于气候变化而避免由于气候变化而崩溃所需的条件。它将增加最长的数据集，该数据集关于植物的选择如何响应年度积雪和传粉媒介的可用性变化，并首次建模如何适应这些条件，使种群能够恢复。它将决定选择性压力如何响应水的供应性，叶子和花卉特征的遗传变异如何与气候变化相互作用，以影响出生和死亡率以及授粉模式和速率的变化如何与物理环境相互作用以影响进化变化。人口规模对气候变化的反应将在下一世纪预计，并提供有关其他物种如何反应的案例研究。该项目将包括培训各种本科生和研究生以及博士后同学。落基山生物实验室的野外科学巡回演出将带领向公众和K-12老师推广。此外，一个公民科学项目将使公众能够为整个美国西部的传粉媒介丰度的建设做出贡献。该项目将继续进行10年的实地实验，并在洛矶山脉生物实验室附近的普通花园进行了10年的实验，以衡量自然选择的选择，以及iPomopsis gengegata casgregata subspp的自然选择的程度。聚集体和毛虫tenuituba（polemoniaceae）。结合融雪日期改变绝对适应性的独特数据，进化救援的模型本质上将完全参数化。功能性营养性状的选择与水利用率之间的关系将通过两种方法确定：关于选择的观察数据，以及对融雪日期和夏季降水的新实验操作。该项目将研究通过全SIB育种设计衡量的进化和人口反应对性状中遗传差异的依赖性。响应年度融雪日期的自适应表型可塑性的程度也将纳入人口规模的预测中。尽管先前对植物适应气候的研究强调了营养性状，但也将建模花卉特征（形状，颜色，奖励，挥发物），因为对它们的选择取决于水的可用性和授粉媒介的丰度。

项目成果

Earlier snow melt and reduced summer precipitation alter floral traits important to pollination

积雪提前融化和夏季降水减少改变了对授粉重要的花卉特征

• DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15908
• 发表时间: 2021
• 期刊: Global Change Biology
• 影响因子: 11.6
• 作者: Powers, John M.;Briggs, Heather M.;Dickson, Rachel G.;Li, Xinyu;Campbell, Diane R.
• 通讯作者: Campbell, Diane R.

Early snowmelt projected to cause population decline in a subalpine plant

• DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1820096116
• 发表时间: 2019-06-25
• 期刊: PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
• 影响因子: 11.1
• 作者: Campbell, Diane R.

Experimental Test of the Combined Effects of Water Availability and Flowering Time on Pollinator Visitation and Seed Set

• DOI: 10.3389/fevo.2021.641693
• 发表时间: 2021-03-25
• 期刊: FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION
• 影响因子: 3
• 作者: Gallagher, M. Kate;Campbell, Diane R.
• 通讯作者: Campbell, Diane R.

Effects of experimental warming on floral scent, display and rewards in two subalpine herbs

• DOI: 10.1093/aob/mcad195
• 发表时间: 2023-12-23
• 期刊: ANNALS OF BOTANY
• 影响因子: 4.2
• 作者: Wu，Carrie;Powers，John M.;Campbell，Diane R.
• 通讯作者: Campbell，Diane R.

An analytical pipeline to support robust research on the ecology, evolution, and function of floral volatiles

• DOI: 10.3389/fevo.2022.1006416
• 发表时间: 2022-10-20
• 期刊: FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION
• 影响因子: 3
• 作者: Eisen，Katherine E. E.;Powers，John M. M.;Campbell，Diane R. R.
• 通讯作者: Campbell，Diane R. R.