全球地缘政治格局力量结构演变研究 ——基于社会网络分析法

全球地缘政治格局力量结构演变研究 ——基于社会网络分析法

The global geopolitical pattern is crucial to the stability and development of the international situation. The power structure is an important component of the geopolitical pattern. The research on the evolution of the power structure of the global geopolitical pattern can deeply explore the potential characteristics and evolution laws of the pattern, accurately grasp the logical relationship of the global geopolitical pattern in ancient and modern times, and better serve China's geopolitical practice. By sorting out the evolution process of the global geopolitical pattern, this paper uses the social network analysis method to construct a network model of the power structure of the global geopolitical pattern and analyzes its network parameter indicators such as centrality, influence index, correlation index and cohesion index. Through horizontal comparison of network parameter indicators, the differences in the network parameter characteristics of each node in the same type of pattern are studied, and through vertical comparison and analysis, the changes in the network parameter characteristics in the process of power structure conversion of different types of patterns are obtained. Cluster analysis is carried out on the evolution process of the power structure of the global geopolitical pattern, and the stage of the power structure from quantitative change to qualitative change is accurately located.

全球地缘政治格局事关国际局势的稳定与发展。力量结构是地缘政治格局的重要组成要素，对全球地缘政治格局力量结构演变的研究，可以深入挖掘格局的潜在特征与演变规律，准确把握古今全球地缘政治格局的逻辑关系，更好的服务于我国地缘政治实践。本文通过梳理全球地缘政治格局演变的历程，采用社会网络分析法构建了全球地缘政治格局力量结构网络模型并对其中心性、影响力指数、关联度指数和凝聚度指数等网络参数指标进行了分析。通过横向对比网络参数指标研究同类型格局中的各节点网络参数特征的差异性，通过纵向对比分析得到不同类型格局力量结构转换过程中网络参数特征变化情况。对全球地缘政治格局力量结构演变过程进行聚类分析，准确定位了力量结构由量变到质变的阶段。